Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins - 4/28/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins - 4/28/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

Boston Bruins (50-25-5) vs Buffalo Sabres (31-38-11)

Game Info: Thursday, April 28, 2022 at 7:00 pm (TD Garden)

Betting Odds: Boston Bruins -345 / Buffalo Sabres +262 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Boston Bruins host the Buffalo Sabres in Thursday NHL Action.

The Buffalo Sabres come into this road contest with an overall record of 31-38-11. Through 80 games, the Sabres are 5th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 229 times, good for a rank of 23rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Buffalo is the 25th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.5 goals per game. So far, the Sabres have a strength of schedule rating of 13th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 26th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Boston Bruins get set to host the Buffalo Sabres with an overall record of 50-25-5. This mark places them 4th in the Atlantic division. Through 80 games, the Bruins have scored 248 goals, giving them an average of 3.08. This output gives them a rank of 15th among NHL teams.On defense, Boston is the 4th ranked unit, giving up 2.66 goals per contest. So far, the Bruins have played the 27th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Boston's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 13th in the NHL.

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Through 76 games, the Buffalo Sabres goal and overall scoring leader is Tage Thompson with 67 points. He has reached his mark of 37 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.9%. So far, 27.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Jeff Skinner, who has 29 assists to go along with his 33 goals. However, when on the ice, the Sabres are -13.0 in scoring differential. Buffalo's top goalie is Craig Anderson, who is giving up an average of 3.12 goals per game.

Through 80 games, Boston's leading goal scorer is David Pastrnak. With his 39 goals and 36 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 75. On the season, he is turning 12.7% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Bruins have benefited from the strong play of Brad Marchand, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Boston's 80 games, he has come up with 32 goals on a shooting percentage of 13.3%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +13. Boston's top goalie is Linus Ullmark, who is giving up an average of 2.51 goals per game. In his 40 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 50 percent of the time.

In Buffalo's 80 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 43-34-3. So far, taking the over when the Sabres are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 20-18-2. On the season, 61.0% of Buffalo's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 47.0% of the scoring coming from the Sabres. Coming into this game, the Bruins have an over-under record of 35-39-6. When playing at home, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 18-19-3. On the season, 53.0% of Boston's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 55% of the scoring coming from the Bruins. Look for this matchup to surpass 5.5 goals, as both team's goalies have save percentage rates below the NHL average. I recommend taking the under.

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Joe’s Pick Over 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 5/28/22 | Ron's Rundown

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