Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins - 4/26/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins - 4/26/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Perry Nelson-USA TODAY Sports

Pittsburgh Penguins (45-24-11) vs Edmonton Oilers (46-27-6)

Game Info: Tuesday, April 26, 2022 at 7:00 pm (PPG Paints Arena)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Penguins -169 / Edmonton Oilers +136 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Edmonton Oilers in Tuesday NHL Action.

The Edmonton Oilers come into this road contest with an overall record of 46-27-6. Through 79 games, the Oilers are 2nd in the Pacific Division. On the season, they have found the net 277 times, good for a rank of 7th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Edmonton is the 17th-ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.09 goals per game. So far, the Oilers have a strength of schedule rating of 17th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 12th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Pittsburgh Penguins get set to host the Edmonton Oilers with an overall record of 45-24-11. This mark places them 3rd in the Metropolitan division. Through 80 games, the Penguins have scored 266 goals, giving them an average of 3.29. This output gives them a rank of 11th among NHL teams. On defense, Pittsburgh is the 5th ranked unit, giving up 2.68 goals per contest. So far, the Penguins have played the 25th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Pittsburgh's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 10th in the NHL.

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Through 79 games, the Edmonton Oilers' leading goal scorer is Leon Draisaitl. With his 53 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 108. On the season, he is turning 20.1% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Oilers have benefited from the strong play of Connor McDavid, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Edmonton's 79 games, he has come up with 43 goals on a shooting percentage of 14.0%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 25. Edmonton's top goalie is Mikko Koskinen, who is giving up an average of 3.12 goals per game.

Through 80 games, Pittsburgh's leading goal scorer is Jake Guentzel. With his 40 goals and 43 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 83. On the season, he is turning 15.4% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Penguins have benefited from the strong play of Sidney Crosby, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Pittsburgh's 80 games, he has come up with 31 goals on a shooting percentage of 15.3%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +20. Pittsburgh's top goalie is Tristan Jarry, who is giving up an average of 2.42 goals per game. In his 58 games played, he has turned in 35 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Edmonton's 79 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 41-37-1. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing on the road, going just 17-22-1. On the season, 65.0% of Edmonton's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 54.0% of the scoring coming from the Oilers. Coming into this game, the Penguins have an over-under record of 39-40-1. However, when playing at home, the over has fared better, going 22-17. On the season, 55.0% of Pittsburgh's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 56% of the scoring coming from the Penguins. Look for this matchup to surpass the posted over-under betting line of 6.5 goals, as both the Oilers and Penguins are strong offensive units, capable of taking advantage of two defensive units with defensive ratings near the NHL average. I recommend taking the over.

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Joe’s Pick Over 6.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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