Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs - 4/26/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs - 4/26/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs (52-21-7) vs Detroit Red Wings (31-39-10)

Game Info: Tuesday, April 26, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -588 / Detroit Red Wings +410 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Detroit Red Wings in Tuesday NHL Action.

The Detroit Red Wings come into this road contest with an overall record of 31-39-10. Through 80 games, the Red Wings are 6th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 225 times, good for a rank of 23rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Detroit is the 31st ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.8 goals per game. So far, the Red Wings have a strength of schedule rating of 3rd in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 30th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Toronto Maple Leafs get set to host the Detroit Red Wings with an overall record of 52-21-7. This mark places them 2nd in the Atlantic division. Through 80 games, the Maple Leafs have scored 307 goals, giving them an average of 3.8. This output gives them a rank of 2nd among NHL teams. On defense, Toronto is the 19th ranked unit, giving up 3.13 goals per contest. So far, the Maple Leafs have played the 27th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Toronto's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 8th in the NHL.

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Through 71 games, the Detroit Red Wings goal and overall scoring leader is Dylan Larkin with 69 points. He has reached his mark of 31 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.6%. So far, 19.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Tyler Bertuzzi, who has 31 assists to go along with his 29 goals. However, when on the ice the Red Wings are -11.0 in scoring differential. Detroit's top goalie is Alex Nedeljkovic, who is giving up an average of 3.31 goals per game.

Through 72 games, the Toronto Maple Leafs' goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews, with 104 points. He has reached his mark of 58 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.0%. So far, 26.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 62 assists to go along with his 35 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +23. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.7 goals per game. In his 48 games played, he has turned in 27 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Detroit's 80 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 44-33-3. So far, taking the over when the Red Wings are playing away from home, has been a good bet with an over-under record of 20-17-2. On the season, 61.0% of Detroit's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 41.0% of the scoring coming from the Red Wings. In Toronto's 80 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 44-30-5. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing at home, going just 17-19-3. On the season, 69.0% of Toronto's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Maple Leafs. Given that both teams' struggling defensive units, the over-under line is set at 7 goals. However, I don't see Detroit's offense putting up enough scoring to take it over this line.

 

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 7 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 5/28/22 | Ron's Rundown

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