Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals - 4/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals - 4/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Washington Capitals (44-23-11) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (51-21-6)

Game Info: Sunday, April 24, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Capital One Arena)

Betting Odds: Washington Capitals -118 / Toronto Maple Leafs +100 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Washington Capitals host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Sunday NHL Action.

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this road contest with an overall record of 51-21-6. Through 78 games, the Maple Leafs are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 301 times, good for a rank of 2nd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Toronto is the 19th-ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.13 goals per game. So far, the Maple Leafs have a strength of schedule rating of 31st in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 7th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Washington Capitals get set to host the Toronto Maple Leafs with an overall record of 44-23-11. This mark places them 3rd in the Metropolitan division. Through 78 games, the Capitals have scored 268 goals, giving them an average of 3.37. This output gives them a rank of 8th among NHL teams. On defense, Washington is the 14th ranked unit, giving up 2.91 goals per contest. So far, the Capitals have played the 25th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Washington's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 11th in the NHL.

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Through 70 games, the Toronto Maple Leaf's goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews with 102 points. He has reached his mark of 58 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.6%. So far, 26.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 61 assists to go along with his 34 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +21. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.69 goals per game. In his 47 games played, he has turned in 26 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 76 games, the Washington Capitals' goal and overall scoring leader is Alex Ovechkin, with 90 points. He has reached his mark of 50 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.2%. So far, 32.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Evgeny Kuznetsov, who has 53 assists to go along with his 24 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +11.0. Washington's top goalie is Ilya Samsonov, who is giving up an average of 2.99 goals per game. In his 42 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 0.324 percent of the time.

In Toronto's 78 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 44-29-4. So far, taking the over when the Maple Leafs are playing away from home, has been a good bet with an over-under record of 27-10-1. On the season, 69.0% of Toronto's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Maple Leafs. In Washington's 78 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 45-31-2. So far, taking the over when the Capitals are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 23-14-2. On the season, 64.0% of Washington's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Capitals. Look for this matchup to fall below the over-under line of 7.5 goals, as each team's defense will hold up enough to take on two above-average offensive units. I recommend taking the under.

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Joe’s Pick Under 7.5 Goals

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