Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers - 4/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Florida Panthers (56-15-6) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (47-22-8)

Game Info: Sunday, April 24, 2022 at 7:00 pm (FLA Live Arena)

Betting Odds: Florida Panthers -133 / Tampa Bay Lightning +110 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Florida Panthers host the Tampa Bay Lightning in Sunday NHL Action.

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this road contest with an overall record of 47-22-8. Through 77 games, the Lightning are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 261 times, good for a rank of 9th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Tampa Bay is the 6th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.75 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have a strength of schedule rating of 21st in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 9th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Florida Panthers get set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning with an overall record of 56-15-6. This mark places them 1st in the Atlantic division. Through 77 games, the Panthers have scored 325 goals, giving them an average of 4.18. This output gives them a rank of 1st among NHL teams. On defense, Florida is the 9th-ranked unit, giving up 2.83 goals per contest. So far, the Panthers have played the 32nd toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Florida's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 1st in the NHL.

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Through 76 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos with 90 points. He has reached his mark of 34 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.5%. So far, 38.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 56 assists to go along with his 19 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +23.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.46 goals per game. In his 60 games played, he has turned in 38 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 77 games, Florida's leading goal scorer is Aleksander Barkov. With his 38 goals and 48 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 86. On the season, he is turning 18.5% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Panthers have benefited from the strong play of Jonathan Huberdeau, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Florida's 77 games, he has come up with 30 goals on a shooting percentage of 13.8%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +39. Florida's top goalie is Sergei Bobrovsky, who is giving up an average of 2.64 goals per game. In his 51 games played, he has turned in 31 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Tampa Bay's 77 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 40-37. So far, taking the over when the Lightning are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 20-18. On the season, 55.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 55% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. In Florida's 77 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 44-28-5. So far, taking the over when the Panthers are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 26-10-3. On the season, 69.0% of Florida's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 59.0% of the scoring coming from the Panthers. With an over-under line set at 6.5 goals, look for this matchup to fall below that line, as Florida and Tampa Bay are both in the top 10 in goals allowed. I recommend taking the under.

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