Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers - 4/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers - 4/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports

Philadelphia Flyers (24-43-11) vs Pittsburgh Penguins (45-23-11)

Game Info: Sunday, April 24, 2022 at 4:00 pm (Wells Fargo Center)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Flyers +195 / Pittsburgh Penguins -238 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Philadelphia Flyers host the Pittsburgh Penguins in Sunday NHL Action.

The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this road contest with an overall record of 44-23-11. Through 78 games, the Penguins are 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. On the season, they have found the net 258 times, good for a rank of 11th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Pittsburgh is the 5th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.67 goals per game. So far, the Penguins have a strength of schedule rating of 20th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 10th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Philadelphia Flyers get set to host the Pittsburgh Penguins with an overall record of 24-43-11. This mark places them 8th in the Metropolitan division. Through 78 games, the Flyers have scored 204 goals, giving them an average of 2.6. This output gives them a rank of 28th among NHL teams. On defense, Philadelphia is the 28th ranked unit, giving up 3.62 goals per contest. So far, the Flyers have played the 2nd toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Philadelphia's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 30th in the NHL.

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Through 72 games, the Pittsburgh Penguins goal and overall scoring leader is Jake Guentzel with 81 points. He has reached his mark of 40 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.8%. So far, 18.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Sidney Crosby, who has 52 assists to go along with his 29 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +19.0. Pittsburgh's top goalie is Tristan Jarry, who is giving up an average of 2.42 goals per game. In his 58 games played, he has turned in 35 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Coming into this game, the Philadelphia Flyers' leader in points is Cam Atkinson. In Philadelphia's 78 games, he has come up with 23 goals and 27 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 10.7%. The team's top overall goal scorer is James van Riemsdyk. Of his 23 goals, 35.0% have come during power play time. However, when on the ice, the Flyers are -2 in scoring differential. Philadelphia's top goalie is Carter Hart, who is giving up an average of 3.16 goals per game. In his 45 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 0.477 percent of the time.

In Pittsburgh's 78 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 39-39-1. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing on the road, going just 17-22-1. On the season, 55.0% of Pittsburgh's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 55% of the scoring coming from the Penguins. In Philadelphia's 78 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 41-35-2. So far, taking the over when the Flyers are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 23-16. On the season, 58.0% of Philadelphia's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 43.0% of the scoring coming from the Flyers. Look for the Penguins to have no problem finding the net vs a struggling Flyers defensive unit, helping to push this game over the posted betting line of 5.5 goals.

 

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Joe’s Pick Over 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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