Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers - 4/23/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers - 4/23/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Florida Panthers (56-15-6) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (51-21-6)

Game Info: Saturday, April 23, 2022 at 7:00 pm (FLA Live Arena)

Betting Odds: Florida Panthers -159 / Toronto Maple Leafs +129 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Florida Panthers host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Saturday NHL Action.

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this road contest with an overall record of 51-21-6. Through 78 games, the Maple Leafs are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 301 times, good for a rank of 2nd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Toronto is the 19th-ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.13 goals per game. So far, the Maple Leafs have a strength of schedule rating of 30th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 7th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Florida Panthers get set to host the Toronto Maple Leafs with an overall record of 56-15-6. This mark places them 1st in the Atlantic division. Through 77 games, the Panthers have scored 325 goals, giving them an average of 4.18. This output gives them a rank of 1st among NHL teams. On defense, Florida is the 9th-ranked unit, giving up 2.83 goals per contest. So far, the Panthers have played the 32nd toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Florida's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 1st in the NHL.

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Through 70 games, the Toronto Maple Leaf's goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews with 102 points. He has reached his mark of 58 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.6%. So far, 26.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 61 assists to go along with his 34 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +21. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.69 goals per game. In his 47 games played, he has turned in 26 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 77 games, Florida's leading goal scorer is Aleksander Barkov. With his 38 goals and 48 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 86. On the season, he is turning 18.5% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Panthers have benefited from the strong play of Jonathan Huberdeau, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Florida's 77 games, he has come up with 30 goals on a shooting percentage of 13.8%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +39. Florida's top goalie is Sergei Bobrovsky, who is giving up an average of 2.64 goals per game. In his 51 games played, he has turned in 31 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Toronto's 78 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 44-29-4. So far, taking the over when the Maple Leafs are playing away from home, has been a good bet with an over-under record of 27-10-1. On the season, 69.0% of Toronto's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Maple Leafs. In Florida's 77 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 44-28-5. So far, taking the over when the Panthers are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 26-10-3. On the season, 69.0% of Florida's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 59.0% of the scoring coming from the Panthers. Given that these two teams are the 1st and 2nd ranked offensive units, the over-under betting line sits at 7 goals. Even with the high line, I recommend taking the over, a neither Florida or Toronto have defenses capable of shutting down their opponent.

 

 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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