Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings - 4/23/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings - 4/23/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit Red Wings (30-38-10) vs Pittsburgh Penguins (44-23-11)

Game Info: Saturday, April 23, 2022 at 12:30 pm (Little Caesars Arena)

Betting Odds: Detroit Red Wings +234 / Pittsburgh Penguins -303 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Detroit Red Wings in Saturday NHL Action.

The Detroit Red Wings come into this road contest with an overall record of 30-38-10. Through 78 games, the Red Wings are 6th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 220 times, good for a rank of 23rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Detroit is the 31st ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.81 goals per game. So far, the Red Wings have a strength of schedule rating of 4th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 29th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Pittsburgh Penguins get set to host the Detroit Red Wings with an overall record of 44-23-11. This mark places them 3rd in the Metropolitan division. Through 78 games, the Penguins have scored 258 goals, giving them an average of 3.27. This output gives them a rank of 11th among NHL teams. On defense, Pittsburgh is the 6th ranked unit, giving up 2.67 goals per contest. So far, the Penguins have played the 20th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Pittsburgh's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 10th in the NHL.

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Through 71 games, the Detroit Red Wings goal and overall scoring leader is Dylan Larkin with 69 points. He has reached his mark of 31 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.6%. So far, 19.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Tyler Bertuzzi, who has 29 assists to go along with his 28 goals. However, when on the ice, the Red Wings are -11.0 in scoring differential. Detroit's top goalie is Alex Nedeljkovic, who is giving up an average of 3.36 goals per game.

Through 72 games, the Pittsburgh Penguins' goal and overall scoring leader is Jake Guentzel, with 81 points. He has reached his mark of 40 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.8%. So far, 18.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Sidney Crosby, who has 52 assists to go along with his 29 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +19.0. Pittsburgh's top goalie is Tristan Jarry, who is giving up an average of 2.42 goals per game. In his 58 games played, he has turned in 35 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Detroit's 78 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 43-32-3. So far, taking the over when the Red Wings are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 20-16-2. On the season, 62.0% of Detroit's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 42.0% of the scoring coming from the Red Wings. Coming into this game, the Penguins have an over-under record of 38-39-1. However, when playing at home, the over has fared better, going 22-17. On the season 55.0% of Pittsburgh's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 55% of the scoring coming from the Penguins. With an over-under goal line set at 6, look for the Penguins to take advantage of a struggling Detroit defense. I recommend taking the over.

 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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