New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres - 4/23/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres - 4/23/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Dennis Schneidler-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Sabres (30-38-11) vs New York Islanders (35-32-10)

Game Info: Saturday, April 23, 2022 at 12:30 pm (KeyBank Center)

Betting Odds: Buffalo Sabres +112 / New York Islanders -137 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Buffalo Sabres host the New York Islanders in Saturday NHL Action.

The New York Islanders come into this road contest with an overall record of 35-32-10. Through 77 games, the Islanders are 5th in the Metropolitan Division. On the season, they have found the net 213 times, good for a rank of 25th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, New York is the 8th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.77 goals per game. So far, the Islanders have a strength of schedule rating of 24th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 19th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Buffalo Sabres get set to host the New York Islanders Islanders with an overall record of 30-38-11. This mark places them 5th in the Atlantic division. Through 79 games, the Sabres have scored 224 goals, giving them an average of 2.8. This output gives them a rank of 22nd among NHL teams. On defense, Buffalo is the 25th ranked unit, giving up 3.51 goals per contest. So far, the Sabres have played the 12th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Buffalo's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 26th in the NHL.

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Through 68 games, the New York Islanders goal and overall scoring leader is Brock Nelson with 58 points. He has reached his mark of 36 goals, on a shooting percentage of 22.2%. So far, 28% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mathew Barzal, who has 39 assists to go along with his 14 goals. However, when on the ice, the Islanders are --16 in scoring differential. New York's top goalie is Ilya Sorokin, who is giving up an average of 2.32 goals per game. In his 49 games played, he has turned in 36 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 75 games, the Buffalo Sabres' goal and overall scoring leader is Tage Thompson, with 65 points. He has reached his mark of 36 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.7%. So far, 28% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Jeff Skinner, who has 28 assists to go along with his 32 goals. However, when on the ice, the Sabres are --14.0 in scoring differential. Buffalo's top goalie is Craig Anderson, who is giving up an average of 3.12 goals per game. In his 31 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 45 percent of the time.

Coming into this game, the Islanders have an over-under record of 36-39-1. However, when playing on the road, the over has fared better, going 21-18. On the season, 49.0% of New York's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 47.0% of the scoring coming from the IslandersIn Buffalo's 79 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 42-34-3. So far, taking the over when the Sabres are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 22-16-1. On the season, 61.0% of Buffalo's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 47.0% of the scoring coming from the Sabres. With an over-under line set at 5.5 goals, I recommend taking the under, as Buffalo is likely to struggle against an Islanders team ranked 5th in save percentage, including posting a high-danger save rate of 85%.

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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