Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers - 4/22/22 NHL Picks and Prediction
Photo by Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
Edmonton Oilers (45-26-6) vs Colorado Avalanche (55-16-6)
Game Info: Friday, April 22, 2022 at 9:00 pm (Rogers Place)
Betting Odds: Edmonton Oilers +110 / Colorado Avalanche -143 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Edmonton Oilers host the Colorado Avalanche in Friday NHL Action.
The Colorado Avalanche come into this road contest with an overall record of 55-16-6. Through 77 games, the Avalanche are 1st in the Central Division. On the season, they have found the net 298 times, good for a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Colorado is the 5th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.74 goals per game. So far, the Avalanche have a strength of schedule rating of 31st in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 2nd ranked team in the NHL.
The Edmonton Oilers get set to host the Colorado Avalanche with an overall record of 45-26-6. This mark places them 2nd in the Pacific division. Through 77 games, the Oilers have scored 269 goals, giving them an average of 3.44. This output gives them a rank of 7th among NHL teams. On defense, Edmonton is the 18th ranked unit, giving up 3.06 goals per contest. So far, the Oilers have played the 18th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Edmonton's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 12th in the NHL.
Through 73 games, the Colorado Avalanche goal and overall scoring leader is Mikko Rantanen, with 91 points. He has reached his mark of 36 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.5%. So far, 44.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Nathan MacKinnon, who has 54 assists to go along with his 31 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +22. Colorado's top goalie is Darcy Kuemper, who is giving up an average of 2.43 goals per game. In his 53 games played, he has turned in 31 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.
Through 77 games, Edmonton's leading goal scorer is Leon Draisaitl. With his 54 goals and 52 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 106. On the season, he is turning 20.5% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Oilers have benefited from the strong play of Connor McDavid, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Edmonton's 77 games, he has come up with 43 goals on a shooting percentage of 14.1%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +25. Edmonton's top goalie is Mikko Koskinen, who is giving up an average of 3.09 goals per game. In his 42 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 43 percent of the time.
In Colorado's 77 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 41-34-2. So far, taking the over when the Avalanche are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 21-16-1. On the season, 60.0% of Colorado's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 58% of the scoring coming from the Avalanche. In Edmonton's 77 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 39-37-1. So far, taking the over when the Oilers are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 23-15. On the season, 64.0% of Edmonton's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 54.0% of the scoring coming from the Oilers. Even with an over-under line sitting at 6.5 goals, I expect the Avalanche to have no problem finding the net against an Edmonton goalie group ranked 20th in overall save percentage. I recommend taking the over.
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Joe’s Pick Over 6.5 Goals
AUTHOR: Joe Kiemen

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