Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames - 4/21/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Calgary Flames (47-20-10) vs Dallas Stars (43-28-5)

Game Info: Thursday, April 21, 2022 at 9:00 pm (Scotiabank Saddledome)

Betting Odds: Calgary Flames -163 / Dallas Stars +125 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Calgary Flames host the Dallas Stars in Thursday NHL Action

The Dallas Stars come into this road contest with an overall record of 43-28-5. Through 76 games, the Stars are 5th in the Central Division. On the season, they have found the net 221 times, good for a rank of 21st among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Dallas is the 13th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.96 goals per game. So far, the Stars have a strength of schedule rating of 12th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 18th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Calgary Flames get set to host the Dallas Stars with an overall record of 47-20-10. This mark places them 1st in the Pacific division. Through 77 games, the Flames have scored 275 goals, giving them an average of 3.55. This output gives them a rank of 6th among NHL teams.On defense, Calgary is the 3rd ranked unit, giving up 2.48 goals per contest. So far, the Flames have played the 28th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Calgary's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 3rd in the NHL.

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Through 76 games, the Dallas Stars' leading goal scorer is Jason Robertson. With his 34 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 70. On the season, he is turning 18.2% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Stars have benefited from the strong play of Joe Pavelski, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Dallas's 76 games, he has come up with 27 goals on a shooting percentage of 13.4%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 9.0 Dallas's top goalie is Jake Oettinger, who is giving up an average of 2.56 goals per game. In his 44 games played, he has turned in 24 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 77 games, Calgary's leading goal scorer is Matthew Tkachuk. With his 39 goals and 60 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 99. On the season, he is turning 16.0% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Flames have benefited from the strong play of Johnny Gaudreau, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Calgary's 77 games, he has come up with 38 goals on a shooting percentage of 15.3%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +60. Calgary's top goalie is Jacob Markstrom, who is giving up an average of 2.21 goals per game. In his 61 games played, he has turned in 37 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Coming into this game, the Stars have an over-under record of 33-42-1. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 16-22-1. On the season, 45.0% of Dallas's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 52.0% of the scoring coming from the Stars. In Calgary's 77 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 38-35-4. So far, taking the over when the Flames are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 20-17-2. On the season, 61.0% of Calgary's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 59.0% of the scoring coming from the Flames. Even though Calgary comes into this matchup with an excellent offense, Dallas has a strong enough defense to limit their effectiveness. In addition, Calgary's goalie unit has the 8th best save percentage, which will make things tough for the Stars' offense. I recommend taking the under.

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