Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning - 4/19/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning - 4/19/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (46-21-8) vs Detroit Red Wings (29-37-10)

Game Info: Tuesday, April 19, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -400 / Detroit Red Wings +280 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Detroit Red Wings in Tuesday NHL Action.

The Detroit Red Wings come into this road contest with an overall record of 29-37-10. Through 76 games, the Red Wings are 6th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 214 times, good for a rank of 24th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Detroit is the 31st ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.8 goals per game. So far, the Red Wings have a strength of schedule rating of 10th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 29th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Tampa Bay Lightning get set to host the Detroit Red Wings with an overall record of 46-21-8. This mark places them 3rd in the Atlantic division. Through 75 games, the Lightning have scored 250 goals, giving them an average of 3.31. This output gives them a rank of 11th among NHL teams. On defense, Tampa Bay is the 8th ranked unit, giving up 2.76 goals per contest. So far, the Lightning have played the 22nd toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 10th in the NHL.

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Through 71 games, the Detroit Red Wings goal and overall scoring leader is Dylan Larkin with 69 points. He has reached his mark of 31 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.6%. So far, 19.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Tyler Bertuzzi, who has 29 assists to go along with his 27 goals. However, when on the ice the Red Wings are --13.0 in scoring differential. Detroit's top goalie is Alex Nedeljkovic, who is giving up an average of 3.32 goals per game. In his 55 games played, he has turned in 26 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 74 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 84 points. He has reached his mark of 33 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.6%. So far, 36.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 53 assists to go along with his 19 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +24.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.46 goals per game. In his 58 games played, he has turned in 37 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Detroit's 76 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 42-32-2. So far, taking the over when the Red Wings are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 19-16-1. On the season, 61.0% of Detroit's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 42.0% of the scoring coming from the Red Wings. In Tampa Bay's 75 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 38-37. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing at home, going just 18-19. On the season, 53.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 54.0% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. Look for this matchup to finish above the line of 6 goals, as Tampa Bay should have no problem finding the net against a Detroit defense ranked 28th in goals allowed per game. I recommend taking the over.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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