Winnipeg Jets at Tampa Bay Lightning - 4/16/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Winnipeg Jets at Tampa Bay Lightning - 4/16/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (45-21-8) vs Winnipeg Jets (35-28-11)

Game Info: Saturday, April 16, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -275 / Winnipeg Jets +210 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Winnipeg Jets in Saturday NHL Action.

The Winnipeg Jets come into this road contest with an overall record of 35-28-11. Through 74 games, the Jets are 6th in the Central Division. On the season, they have found the net 230 times, good for a rank of 17th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Winnipeg is the 19th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.08 goals per game. So far, the Jets have a strength of schedule rating of 19th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 19th ranked team in the NHL.

The Tampa Bay Lightning get set to host the Winnipeg Jets with an overall record of 45-21-8. This mark places them 3rd in the Atlantic division. Through 74 games, the Lightning have scored 243 goals, giving them an average of 3.26. This output gives them a rank of 12th among NHL teams.On defense, Tampa Bay is the 7th ranked unit, giving up 2.74 goals per contest. So far, the Lightning have played the 20th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 10th in the NHL.

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Through 71 games, the Winnipeg Jets goal and overall scoring leader is Kyle Connor with 85 points. He has reached his mark of 42 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.5%. So far, 19.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mark Scheifele, who has 41 assists to go along with his 29 goals. However, when on the ice, the Jets are -17 in scoring differential. Winnipeg's top goalie is Connor Hellebuyck, who is giving up an average of 2.93 goals per game. In his 62 games played, he has turned in 37 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 73 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 82 points. He has reached his mark of 32 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.3%. So far, 38.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 49 assists to go along with his 19 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +21.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.46 goals per game. In his 58 games played, he has turned in 37 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Winnipeg's 74 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 40-32-2. So far, taking the over when the Jets are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 19-18. On the season, 59.0% of Winnipeg's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 50.0% of the scoring coming from the Jets. In Tampa Bay's 74 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 37-37. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing at home, going just 17-19. On the season, 53.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. Even with the over-under line sitting at just 5.5 goals, I recommend taking the under as Tampa Bay should have no problem shutting down Winnipeg's struggling offense.

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Joe’s Pick Under 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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