Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators - 4/16/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators - 4/16/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

Ottawa Senators (28-40-6) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (48-20-6)

Game Info: Saturday, April 16, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Canadian Tire Centre)

Betting Odds: Ottawa Senators +188 / Toronto Maple Leafs -250 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Ottawa Senators host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Saturday NHL Action.

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this road contest with an overall record of 48-20-6. Through 74 games, the Maple Leafs are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 286 times, good for a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Toronto is the 18th-ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.08 goals per game. So far, the Maple Leafs have a strength of schedule rating of 30th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 6th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Ottawa Senators get set to host the Toronto Maple Leafs with an overall record of 28-40-6. This mark places them 7th in the Atlantic division. Through 74 games, the Senators have scored 200 goals, giving them an average of 2.69. This output gives them a rank of 26th among NHL teams. On defense, Ottawa is the 22nd-ranked unit, giving up 3.2 goals per contest. So far, the Senators have played the 5th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Ottawa's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 23rd in the NHL.

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Through 69 games, the Toronto Maple Leaf's goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews with 101 points. He has reached his mark of 58 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.7%. So far, 26.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 60 assists to go along with his 31 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +20. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.73 goals per game. In his 45 games played, he has turned in 24 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 74 games, Ottawa's leading goal scorer is Joshua Norris. With his 33 goals and 17 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 50. On the season, he is turning 21.4% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Senators have benefited from the strong play of Brady Tkachuk, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Ottawa's 74 games, he has come up with 27 goals on a shooting percentage of 10.5%. However, when on the ice, the Senators are -5.0 in scoring differential. Ottawa's top goalie is Anton Forsberg, who is giving up an average of 2.73 goals per game. In his 41 games played, he has turned in 27 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Toronto's 74 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 42-28-3. So far, taking the over when the Maple Leafs are playing away from home, has been a good bet with an over-under record of 25-10-1. On the season, 68.0% of Toronto's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Maple Leafs. Coming into this game, the Senators have an over-under record of 29-42-3. When playing at home, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 16-21. On the other side, 45.0% of Ottawa's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 44.0% of the scoring coming from the Senators. Even with a line set at 6.5 goals, look for the Maple Leafs to have a big offensive night, leading this game over the betting line.

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Joe’s Pick Over 6.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 5/16/22 | Ron's Rundown

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