San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars - 4/16/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars - 4/16/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Stars (42-27-5) vs San Jose Sharks (29-33-11)

Game Info: Saturday, April 16, 2022 at 8:00 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Stars -118 / San Jose Sharks +250 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Dallas Stars host the San Jose Sharks in Saturday NHL Action

The San Jose Sharks come into this road contest with an overall record of 29-33-11. Through 73 games, the Sharks are 7th in the Pacific Division. On the season, they have found the net 190 times, good for a rank of 29th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, San Jose is the 20th-ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.16 goals per game. So far, the Sharks have a strength of schedule rating of 8th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 25th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Dallas Stars get set to host the San Jose Sharks with an overall record of 42-27-5. This mark places them 4th in the Central division. Through 74 games, the Stars have scored 217 goals, giving them an average of 2.88. This output gives them a rank of 21st among NHL teams.On defense, Dallas is the 14th ranked unit, giving up 2.95 goals per contest. So far, the Stars have played the 10th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Dallas's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 17th in the NHL.

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Through 68 games, the San Jose Sharks goal and overall scoring leader is Timo Meier with 72 points. He has reached his mark of 32 goals, on a shooting percentage of 10.9%. So far, 38.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Tomas Hertl, who has 33 assists to go along with his 28 goals. However, when on the ice, the Sharks are -5.0 in scoring differential. San Jose's top goalie is James Reimer, who is giving up an average of 2.79 goals per game. In his 44 games played, he has turned in 28 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 74 games, Dallas' leading goal scorer is Jason Robertson. With his 36 goals and 34 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 70. On the season, he is turning 18.8% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Stars have benefited from the strong play of Joe Pavelski, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Dallas's 74 games, he has come up with 27 goals on a shooting percentage of 13.4%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +12.0. Dallas's top goalie is Jake Oettinger, who is giving up an average of 2.53 goals per game. In his 42 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Coming into this game, the Sharks have an over-under record of 30-42-1. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 15-21. On the season, 45.0% of San Jose's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 44.0% of the scoring coming from the Sharks. Coming into this game, the Stars have an over-under record of 32-41-1. When playing at home, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 17-19. On the season 45.0% of Dallas's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Stars. Even though the Stars and Sharks are two of the worst scoring offenses, their expected goal averages actually place each team closer to the NHL average. Look for this game to surpass the betting line of 5.5 goals.

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Joe’s Pick Over 5.5 Goals

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