Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs - 4/14/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs (47-20-6) vs Washington Capitals (41-22-10)

Game Info: Thursday, April 14, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -130 / Washington Capitals +106 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Washington Capitals in Thursday NHL Action.

The Washington Capitals come into this road contest with an overall record of 41-22-10. Through 73 games, the Capitals are 4th in the Metropolitan Division. On the season, they have found the net 249 times, good for a rank of 8th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Washington is the 12th-ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.88 goals per game. So far, the Capitals have a strength of schedule rating of 25th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 10th-ranked team in the NHL.

The Toronto Maple Leafs get set to host the Washington Capitals with an overall record of 47-20-6. This mark places them 2nd in the Atlantic division. Through 73 games, the Maple Leafs have scored 279 goals, giving them an average of 3.79. This output gives them a rank of 2nd among NHL teams. On defense, Toronto is the 18th-ranked unit, giving up 3.08 goals per contest. So far, the Maple Leafs have played the 31st toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Toronto's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 6th in the NHL.

Through 71 games, the Washington Capitals goal and overall scoring leader is Alex Ovechkin with 85 points. He has reached his mark of 46 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.7%. So far, 33.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Evgeny Kuznetsov, who has 49 assists to go along with his 23 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +12.0. Washington's top goalie is Ilya Samsonov, who is giving up an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Through 68 games, the Toronto Maple Leafs' goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews, with 99 points. He has reached his mark of 58 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.9%. So far, 26.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 59 assists to go along with his 31 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +20. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.72 goals per game. In his 44 games played, he has turned in 24 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Washington's 73 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 42-29-2. So far, taking the over when the Capitals are playing away from home, has been a good bet with an over-under record of 19-15. On the season 64.0% of Washington's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Capitals. In Toronto's 73 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 41-28-3. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing at home, going just 16-18-2. On the season, 67.0% of Toronto's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Maple Leafs.

In Washington's 73 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 42-29-2. So far, taking the over when the Capitals are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 19-15. On the season, 64.0% of Washington's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Capitals. In Toronto's 73 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 41-28-3. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing at home, going just 16-18-2. On the season, 67.0% of Toronto's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Maple Leafs. Look for this matchup to be a back and forth high, scoring affair, surpassing the over-under betting line of 6.5 goals.

 

 

Joe’s Pick Over 6.5 Goals

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