St. Louis Blues at Buffalo Sabres - 4/14/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

St. Louis Blues at Buffalo Sabres - 4/14/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by David Berding-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Sabres (27-37-11) vs St. Louis Blues (43-20-10)

Game Info: Thursday, April 14, 2022 at 7:00 pm (KeyBank Center)

Betting Odds: Buffalo Sabres +196 / St. Louis Blues -250 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Buffalo Sabres host the St. Louis Blues in Thursday NHL Action.

The St. Louis Blues come into this road contest with an overall record of 43-20-10. Through 73 games, the Blues are 2nd in the Central Division. On the season, they have found the net 268 times, good for a rank of 4th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, St. Louis is the 8th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.82 goals per game. So far, the Blues have a strength of schedule rating of 26th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 5th ranked team in the NHL.

The Buffalo Sabres get set to host the St. Louis Blues with an overall record of 27-37-11. This mark places them 6th in the Atlantic division. Through 75 games, the Sabres have scored 208 goals, giving them an average of 2.73. This output gives them a rank of 24th among NHL teams. On defense, Buffalo is the 27th ranked unit, giving up 3.51 goals per contest. So far, the Sabres have played the 4th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Buffalo's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 26th in the NHL.

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Through 66 games, the St. Louis Blues goal and overall scoring leader is Vladimir Tarasenko with 67 points. He has reached his mark of 28 goals, on a shooting percentage of 13.2%. So far, 18.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Robert Thomas, who has 48 assists to go along with his 18 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +14.0. St. Louis's top goalie is Ville Husso, who is giving up an average of 2.37 goals per game. In his 36 games played, he has turned in 22 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 71 games, the Buffalo Sabres' goal and overall scoring leader is Tage Thompson, with 59 points. He has reached his mark of 33 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.0%. So far, 27.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Jeff Skinner, who has 24 assists to go along with his 31 goals. However, when on the ice the Sabres are --14.0 in scoring differential. Buffalo's top goalie is Craig Anderson, who is giving up an average of 3.09 goals per game. In his 28 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 46 percent of the time.

In St. Louis's 73 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 38-33-2. So far, taking the over when the Blues are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 19-15-1. On the season, 60.0% of St. Louis's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 56% of the scoring coming from the Blues. In Buffalo's 75 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 38-34-3. So far, taking the over when the Sabres are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 20-16-1. On the season, 59.0% of Buffalo's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 46.0% of the scoring coming from the Sabres. With an over-under line set at 6.5 goals, I see this game falling below that line. Even though the Sabres have one of the lowest save percentages in the NHL, St. Louis has only been able to generate scoring chances at a league-average rate.

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 6.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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MLB Picks & Predictions Today 5/16/22 | Ron's Rundown

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