Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins - 4/14/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins - 4/14/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

Boston Bruins (45-23-5) vs Ottawa Senators (27-40-6)

Game Info: Thursday, April 14, 2022 at 7:00 pm (TD Garden)

Betting Odds: Boston Bruins -303 / Ottawa Senators +237 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Boston Bruins host the Ottawa Senators in Thursday NHL Action.

The Ottawa Senators come into this road contest with an overall record of 27-40-6. Through 73 games, the Senators are 7th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 197 times, good for a rank of 26th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Ottawa is the 22nd ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.22 goals per game. So far, the Senators have a strength of schedule rating of 3rd in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 23rd-ranked team in the NHL.

The Boston Bruins get set to host the Ottawa Senators with an overall record of 45-23-5. This mark places them 4th in the Atlantic division. Through 73 games, the Bruins have scored 229 goals, giving them an average of 3.11. This output gives them a rank of 16th among NHL teams.On defense, Boston is the 5th ranked unit, giving up 2.7 goals per contest. So far, the Bruins have played the 32nd toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Boston's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 13th in the NHL.

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Through 73 games, the Ottawa Senators' leading goal scorer is Joshua Norris. With his 17 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 49. On the season, he is turning 21.1% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Senators have benefited from the strong play of Brady Tkachuk, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Ottawa's 73 games, he has come up with 26 goals on a shooting percentage of 10.4%. However, when on the ice, the Senators are -6.0 in scoring differential. Ottawa's top goalie is Anton Forsberg, who is giving up an average of 2.75 goals per game. In his 40 games played, he has turned in 26 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 73 games, Boston's leading goal scorer is David Pastrnak. With his 38 goals and 33 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 71. On the season, he is turning 12.5% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Bruins have benefited from the strong play of Brad Marchand, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Boston's 73 games, he has come up with 31 goals on a shooting percentage of 14.2%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +10. Boston's top goalie is Linus Ullmark, who is giving up an average of 2.59 goals per game. In his 37 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 48 percent of the time.

Coming into this game, the Senators have an over-under record of 29-41-3. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 13-20-3. On the season, 45.0% of Ottawa's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 44.0% of the scoring coming from the SenatorsIn Boston's 73 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 34-33-6. So far, taking the over when the Bruins are playing at home, has been a good bet with an over-under record of 18-15-3. On the season 55.0% of Boston's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 55% of the scoring coming from the Bruins. With the over-under line set at 5.5 goals, I see Ottawa and Boston surpassing this number, as both team's goalies are struggling to protect the net. I recommend taking the over.

 

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Joe’s Pick Over 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 7/3/22 | Ron's Rundown

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