Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars - 4/12/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars - 4/12/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Dennis Wierzbicki-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Stars (41-27-4) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (44-20-8)

Game Info: Tuesday, April 12, 2022 at 9:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Stars +138 / Tampa Bay Lightning -175 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Dallas Stars host the Tampa Bay Lightning in Tuesday NHL Action.

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this road contest with an overall record of 44-20-8. Through 72 games, the Lightning are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 239 times, good for a rank of 11th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Tampa Bay is the 7th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.76 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have a strength of schedule rating of 18th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 10th ranked team in the NHL.

The Dallas Stars get set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning with an overall record of 41-27-4. This mark places them 5th in the Central division. Through 72 games, the Stars have scored 214 goals, giving them an average of 2.92. This output gives them a rank of 19th among NHL teams.On defense, Dallas is the 16th ranked unit, giving up 2.99 goals per contest. So far, the Stars have played the 12th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Dallas's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 18th in the NHL.

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Through 71 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos with 80 points. He has reached his mark of 32 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.7%. So far, 38.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 49 assists to go along with his 19 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +19.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.45 goals per game. In his 56 games played, he has turned in 35 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 72 games, Dallas' leading goal scorer is Jason Robertson. With his 34 goals and 33 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 67. On the season, he is turning 18.9% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Stars have benefited from the strong play of Joe Pavelski, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Dallas's 72 games, he has come up with 27 goals on a shooting percentage of 13.6%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +11.0. Dallas' top goalie is Jake Oettinger, who is giving up an average of 2.53 goals per game. In his 42 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 53 percent of the time.

In Tampa Bay's 72 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 36-36. So far, taking the over when the Lightning are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 20-17. On the season, 53.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. Coming into this game, the Stars have an over-under record of 32-39-1. However, when playing at home, the over has fared better, going 17-17. On the season, 46.0% of Dallas's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Stars. With an over-under line set at 6 goals, look for Dallas and Tampa Bay to fall below this line, as both team's are just outside the top 10 in season-long save percentage.

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 6 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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MLB Picks & Predictions Today 7/3/22 | Ron's Rundown

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