Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings - 4/12/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings - 4/12/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit Red Wings (28-34-10) vs Ottawa Senators (26-40-6)

Game Info: Tuesday, April 12, 2022 at 7:30 pm (Little Caesars Arena)

Betting Odds: Detroit Red Wings -150 / Ottawa Senators +115 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Detroit Red Wings host the Ottawa Senators in Tuesday NHL Action.

The Ottawa Senators come into this road contest with an overall record of 26-40-6. Through 72 games, the Senators are 7th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 193 times, good for a rank of 26th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Ottawa is the 22nd ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.25 goals per game. So far, the Senators have a strength of schedule rating of 3rd in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 23rd ranked team in the NHL.

The Detroit Red Wings get set to host the Ottawa Senators with an overall record of 28-34-10. This mark places them 5th in the Atlantic division. Through 72 games, the Red Wings have scored 209 goals, giving them an average of 2.86. This output gives them a rank of 22nd among NHL teams. On defense, Detroit is the 32nd ranked unit, giving up 3.82 goals per contest. So far, the Red Wings have played the 15th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Detroit's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 30th in the NHL.

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Through 72 games, the Ottawa Senators' leading goal scorer is Joshua Norris. With his 16 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 48. On the season, he is turning 21.3% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Senators have benefited from the strong play of Brady Tkachuk, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Ottawa's 72 games, he has come up with 26 goals on a shooting percentage of 10.4%. However, when on the ice, the Senators are -6.0 in scoring differential. Ottawa's top goalie is Anton Forsberg, who is giving up an average of 2.8 goals per game. In his 39 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 67 games, the Detroit Red Wings' goal and overall scoring leader is Dylan Larkin, with 68 points. He has reached his mark of 31 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.5%. So far, 19.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Tyler Bertuzzi, who has 28 assists to go along with his 26 goals. However, when on the ice, the Red Wings are -6.0 in scoring differential. Detroit's top goalie is Alex Nedeljkovic, who is giving up an average of 3.34 goals per game. In his 53 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 49 percent of the time.

Coming into this game, the Senators have an over-under record of 29-40-3. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 13-19-3. On the season, 46.0% of Ottawa's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 44.0% of the scoring coming from the Senators. In Detroit's 72 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 42-28-2. So far, taking the over when the Red Wings are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 23-14-1. On the season, 62.0% of Detroit's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 42.0% of the scoring coming from the Red Wings. Look for this to be a higher scoring game than expected, as both Detroit and Ottawa will benefit from taking on goalies that have struggled throughout the season. I recommend taking the over.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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