Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning - 4/10/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning - 4/10/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (43-20-8) vs Buffalo Sabres (26-36-11)

Game Info: Sunday, April 10, 2022 at 5:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -225 / Buffalo Sabres +500 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Buffalo Sabres in Sunday NHL Action.

The Buffalo Sabres come into this road contest with an overall record of 26-36-11. Through 73 games, the Sabres are 6th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 203 times, good for a rank of 23rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Buffalo is the 27th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.51 goals per game. So far, the Sabres have a strength of schedule rating of 7th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 26th ranked team in the NHL.

The Tampa Bay Lightning get set to host the Buffalo Sabres with an overall record of 43-20-8. This mark places them 4th in the Atlantic division. Through 71 games, the Lightning have scored 234 goals, giving them an average of 3.27. This output gives them a rank of 10th among NHL teams. On defense, Tampa Bay is the 9th ranked unit, giving up 2.8 goals per contest. So far, the Lightning have played the 17th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 10th in the NHL.

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Through 69 games, the Buffalo Sabres goal and overall scoring leader is Tage Thompson with 58 points. He has reached his mark of 32 goals, with a shooting percentage of 14.0%. So far, 25.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Jeff Skinner, who has 24 assists to go along with his 30 goals. However, when on the ice, the Sabres are -13.0 in scoring differential. Buffalo's top goalie is Craig Anderson, who is giving up an average of 3.06 goals per game.

Through 70 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 79 points. He has reached his mark of 32 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.8%. So far, 38.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 48 assists to go along with his 19 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +17.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.45 goals per game. In his 56 games played, he has turned in 35 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Buffalo's 73 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 38-33-2. So far, taking the over when the Sabres are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 18-17-1. On the season, 59.0% of Buffalo's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 45.0% of the scoring coming from the Sabres. In Tampa Bay's 71 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 36-35. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing at home, going just 16-18. On the season, 54.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. Look for the Sabres and Lightning to surpass the posted betting line of just 5.5 goals, in what should be a higher scoring game than expected.

 

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Joe’s Pick Over 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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