Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars - 4/7/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars - 4/7/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Stars (40-26-3) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (45-19-6)

Game Info: Thursday, April 7, 2022 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Stars +162 / Toronto Maple Leafs +120 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Dallas Stars host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Thursday NHL Action.

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this road contest with an overall record of 45-19-6. Through 70 games, the Maple Leafs are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 270 times, good for a rank of 2nd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Toronto is the 18th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.07 goals per game. So far, the Maple Leafs have a strength of schedule rating of 28th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 5th ranked team in the NHL.

The Dallas Stars get set to host the Toronto Maple Leafs with an overall record of 40-26-3. This mark places them 5th in the Central division. Through 69 games, the Stars have scored 204 goals, giving them an average of 2.9. This output gives them a rank of 20th among NHL teams.On defense, Dallas is the 14th ranked unit, giving up 2.96 goals per contest. So far, the Stars have played the 10th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Dallas's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 17th in the NHL.

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Through 65 games, the Toronto Maple Leaf's goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews with 95 points. He has reached his mark of 54 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.9%. So far, 26.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 57 assists to go along with his 31 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +20. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.71 goals per game. In his 43 games played, he has turned in 24 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 69 games,Dallas' leading goal scorer is Jason Robertson. With his 32 goals and 31 assists, he is second in overall points, coming in at 63. On the season, he is turning 18.4% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Stars have benefited from the strong play of Joe Pavelski, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Dallas's 69 games, he has come up with 25 goals on a shooting percentage of 13.2%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +10.0. Dallas's top goalie is Jake Oettinger, who is giving up an average of 2.48 goals per game. In his 40 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

On the season, the Dallas Stars have a per-game scoring differential of -0.03 goals per game. Things haven't gone any better at home, as they are losing home games by an average of -0.54 goals. Heading into their game with the Toronto Maple Leafs, the Stars have a 4-1 record over their past five contests. In these games, they have scored 15 goals, accounting for 52.0% of the overall scoring. On the other side, the Maple Leafs also are 4-1 over their last 5 games. However, they have been playing better on offense, scoring 31 goals during this stretch. Look for Toronto to pick up the road win over Dallas.

 

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Joe’s Pick Maple Leafs +120

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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