Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning - 4/4/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning - 4/4/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (43-18-7) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (44-19-5)

Game Info: Monday, April 4, 2022 at 7:30 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -150 / Toronto Maple Leafs +115 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Monday NHL Action.

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this road contest with an overall record of 44-19-5. Through 68 games, the Maple Leafs are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 258 times, good for a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Toronto is the 16th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.03 goals per game. So far, the Maple Leafs have a strength of schedule rating of 29th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 5th ranked team in the NHL.

The Tampa Bay Lightning get set to host the Toronto Maple Leafs with an overall record of 43-18-7. This mark places them 2nd in the Atlantic division. Through 68 games, the Lightning have scored 228 goals, giving them an average of 3.32. This output gives them a rank of 10th among NHL teams. On defense, Tampa Bay is the 8th ranked unit, giving up 2.75 goals per contest. So far, the Lightning have played the 24th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 9th in the NHL.

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Through 63 games, the Toronto Maple Leaf's goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews with 88 points. He has reached his mark of 51 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.8%. So far, 27.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 53 assists to go along with his 28 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +18. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.66 goals per game. In his 41 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 67 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 76 points. He has reached his mark of 32 goals, on a shooting percentage of 16.4%. So far, 38.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 47 assists to go along with his 19 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +17.0 Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.37 goals per game. In his 53 games played, he has turned in 35 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Heading into this matchup, both the Lightning and Maple Leafs are 4-1 over their last 5 games. However, within those same games, Toronto has been one of the league's best offensive team's accumulating 26 goals compared to Tampa Bay's 19. Look for the Maple Leafs to pick up the win, as they should continue their strong offensive play.

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Joe’s Pick Maple Leafs +115

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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