Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning - 4/2/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning - 4/2/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by James Guillory-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (42-18-6) vs Montreal Canadiens (18-39-11)

Game Info: Saturday, April 2, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -549 / Montreal Canadiens +375 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Montreal Canadiens in Saturday NHL Action.

The Montreal Canadiens come into this road contest with an overall record of 18-39-11. Through 68 games, the Canadiens are 8th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 173 times, good for a rank of 29th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Montreal is the 31st ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.76 goals per game. So far, the Canadiens have a strength of schedule rating of 7th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 32nd ranked team in the NHL.

The Tampa Bay Lightning get set to host the Montreal Canadiens with an overall record of 42-18-6. This mark places them 3rd in the Atlantic division. Through 66 games, the Lightning have scored 219 goals, giving them an average of 3.29. This output gives them a rank of 13th among NHL teams. On defense, Tampa Bay is the 6th ranked unit, giving up 2.74 goals per contest. So far, the Lightning have played the 15th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 9th in the NHL.

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Through 68 games, the Montreal Canadiens goal and overall scoring leader is Nick Suzuki with 50 points. He has reached his mark of 18 goals, on a shooting percentage of 11.1%. So far, 44.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Cole Caufield, who has 19 assists to go along with his 14 goals. However, when on the ice the Canadiens are --18 in scoring differential. Montreal's top goalie is Sam Montembeault, who is giving up an average of 3.64 goals per game.

Through 65 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 73 points. He has reached his mark of 30 goals, on a shooting percentage of 16.0%. So far, 40.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 45 assists to go along with his 19 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +14.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.37 goals per game. In his 52 games played, he has turned in 34 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Montreal's 68 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 38-28-2. So far, taking the over when the Canadiens are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 21-13-1. On the season, 60.0% of Montreal's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 40.0% of the scoring coming from the Canadiens. Coming into this game, the Lightning have an over-under record of 32-34. When playing at home, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 13-17. On the season, 52.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 54.0% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. Look for this game to surpass the over-under line of 5.5 goals.

 

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Joe’s Pick Over 5.5 Goals

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