Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings - 4/1/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Detroit Red Wings (26-32-9) vs Ottawa Senators (23-37-6)

Game Info: Friday, April 1, 2022 at 7:30 pm (Little Caesars Arena)

Betting Odds: Detroit Red Wings -125 / Ottawa Senators +102 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Detroit Red Wings host the Ottawa Senators in Friday NHL Action.

The Ottawa Senators come into this road contest with an overall record of 23-37-6. Through 66 games, the Senators are 7th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 171 times, good for a rank of 32nd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Ottawa is the 21st ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.26 goals per game. So far, the Senators have a strength of schedule rating of 1st in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 25th ranked team in the NHL.

The Detroit Red Wings get set to host the Ottawa Senators with an overall record of 26-32-9. This mark places them 5th in the Atlantic division. Through 67 games, the Red Wings have scored 193 goals, giving them an average of 2.84. This output gives them a rank of 21st among NHL teams. On defense, Detroit is the 32nd ranked unit, giving up 3.82 goals per contest. So far, the Red Wings have played the 11th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Detroit's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 30th in the NHL.

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Coming into this game, the Ottawa Senators leader in points is Brady Tkachuk. In his team's 66 games, he has come up with 23 goals and 24 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 10.1%. However, when on the ice, the Senators are -11 in scoring differential. The team's top overall goal scorer is Joshua Norris. Of his 26 goals, 50.0% have come during power play time. Ottawa's top goalie is Anton Forsberg, who is giving up an average of 2.74 goals per game. In his 35 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 62 games, the Detroit Red Wings' goal and overall scoring leader is Dylan Larkin, with 62 points. He has reached his mark of 28 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.3%. So far, 21.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Tyler Bertuzzi, who has 28 assists to go along with his 26 goals. However, when on the ice the Red Wings are -1.0 in scoring differential. Detroit's top goalie is Alex Nedeljkovic, who is giving up an average of 3.3 goals per game. In his 50 games played, he has turned in 24 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Coming into this game, the Senators have an over-under record of 25-39-2. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 11-19-2. On the season, 42.0% of Ottawa's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 42.0% of the scoring coming from the Senators. In Detroit's 67 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 38-27-2. So far, taking the over when the Red Wings are playing at home, has been a good bet with an over-under record of 20-14-1. On the season, 61.0% of Detroit's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 42.0% of the scoring coming from the Red Wings. With a line set at 6 goals, I see this matchup between Detroit and Ottawa falling below this number. I recommend taking the under.

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