Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins - 3/29/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Boston Bruins (41-19-5) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (41-19-5)

Game Info: Tuesday, March 29, 2022 at 7:00 pm (TD Garden)

Betting Odds: Boston Bruins -135 / Toronto Maple Leafs +110 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Boston Bruins host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Tueday NHL Action

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this road contest with an overall record of 41-19-5. Through 65 games, the Maple Leafs are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 239 times, good for a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Toronto is the 16th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.02 goals per game. So far, the Maple Leafs have a strength of schedule rating of 28th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 7th ranked team in the NHL.

The Boston Bruins get set to host the Toronto Maple Leafs with an overall record of 41-19-5. This mark places them 3rd in the Atlantic division. Through 65 games, the Bruins have scored 200 goals, giving them an average of 3.05. This output gives them a rank of 18th among NHL teams. On defense, Boston is the 4th ranked unit, giving up 2.65 goals per contest. So far, the Bruins have played the 2nd easiest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Boston's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 13th in the NHL.

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Through 60 games, the Toronto Maple Leaf's goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews, with 83 points. He has reached his mark of 48 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.5%. So far, 27.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 47 assists to go along with his 27 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +17. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.65 goals per game. In his 40 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 65 games, the Boston Bruins' goal and overall scoring leader is David Pastrnak, with 66 points. He has reached his mark of 37 goals, on a shooting percentage of 12.9%. So far, 35.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Brad Marchand, who has 37 assists to go along with his 28 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +6. Boston's top goalie is Linus Ullmark, who is giving up an average of 2.73 goals per game. In his 32 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 45 percent of the time.

In Toronto's 65 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 35-27-2. So far, taking the over when the Maple Leafs are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 20-10-1. On the season, 65.0% of Toronto's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 52.0% of the scoring coming from the Maple Leafs. Coming into this game, the Bruins have an over-under record of 30-31-4. However, when playing at home, the over has fared better, going 15-15-2. On the season, 52.0% of Boston's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 55% of the scoring coming from the Bruins. With a line set at 6.5 goals, look for Toronto and Boston to combine to fall below this line. I recommend taking the under.

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