Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders - 3/27/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders - 3/27/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

New York Islanders (28-25-9) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (39-18-6)

Game Info: Sunday, March 27, 2022 at 2:00 pm (UBS Arena)

Betting Odds: New York Islanders +110 / Tampa Bay Lightning -135 --- Over/Under: 4.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Islanders host the Tampa Bay Lightning in Sunday NHL Action.

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this road contest with an overall record of 39-18-6. Through 63 games, the Lightning are 4th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 209 times, good for a rank of 13th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Tampa Bay is the 7th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.79 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have a strength of schedule rating of 17th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 10th ranked team in the NHL.

The New York Islanders get set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning with an overall record of 28-25-9. This mark places them 6th in the Metropolitan division. Through 62 games, the Islanders have scored 170 goals, giving them an average of 2.73. This output gives them a rank of 26th among NHL teams. On defense, New York is the 3rd ranked unit, giving up 2.61 goals per contest. So far, the Islanders have played the 2nd easiest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account New York's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 20th in the NHL.

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Through 62 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 67 points. He has reached his mark of 28 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.8%. So far, 36.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 45 assists to go along with his 17 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +14.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.39 goals per game. In his 50 games played, he has turned in 32 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 53 games, the New York Islanders' goal and overall scoring leader is Brock Nelson, with 44 points. He has reached his mark of 29 goals, on a shooting percentage of 22.3%. So far, 28% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mathew Barzal, who has 30 assists to go along with his 12 goals. However, when on the ice, the Islanders are -3 in scoring differential. New York's top goalie is Ilya Sorokin, who is giving up an average of 2.29 goals per game. In his 42 games played, he has turned in 29 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Coming into this game, the Lightning have an over-under record of 31-32. However, when playing on the road, the over has fared better, going 19-15. On the season, 52.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 54.0% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. Coming into this game, the Islanders have an over-under record of 28-32-1. When playing at home, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 12-19-1. On the season, 47.0% of New York's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 49.0% of the scoring coming from the Islanders. With a line set at 4.5 goals, look for the Lightning and Islanders to surpass this number.

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Joe’s Pick Over 4.5 Goals

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