Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs - 3/27/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs - 3/27/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs (40-18-5) vs Florida Panthers (43-14-6)

Game Info: Sunday, March 27, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -118 / Florida Panthers +100 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Florida Panthers in Sunday NHL Action.

The Florida Panthers come into this road contest with an overall record of 43-14-6. Through 63 games, the Panthers are 1st in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 258 times, good for a rank of 1st among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Florida is the 10th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.84 goals per game. So far, the Panthers have a strength of schedule rating of 21st in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 1st ranked team in the NHL.

The Toronto Maple Leafs get set to host the Florida Panthers with an overall record of 40-18-5. This mark places them 2nd in the Atlantic division. Through 63 games, the Maple Leafs have scored 232 goals, giving them an average of 3.65. This output gives them a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. On defense, Toronto is the 16th ranked unit, giving up 3.02 goals per contest. So far, the Maple Leafs have played the 29th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Toronto's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 6th in the NHL.

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Through 63 games, the Florida Panthers' leading goal scorer is Aleksander Barkov. With his 36 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 63. On the season, he is turning 17.0% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Panthers have benefited from the strong play of Jonathan Huberdeau, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Florida's 63 games, he has come up with 21 goals on a shooting percentage of 12.4%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 25. Florida's top goalie is Sergei Bobrovsky, who is giving up an average of 2.57 goals per game. In his 41 games played, he has turned in 25 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 58 games, the Toronto Maple Leafs' goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews, with 80 points. He has reached his mark of 46 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.4%. So far, 28% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 42 assists to go along with his 27 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +15. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.65 goals per game. In his 40 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Florida's 63 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 38-23-2. So far, taking the over when the Panthers are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 15-15-1. On the season, 68.0% of Florida's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 58% of the scoring coming from the Panthers. In Toronto's 63 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 35-26-1. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing at home, going just 15-17. On the season, 63.0% of Toronto's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 52.0% of the scoring coming from the Maple Leafs. With a line set at 7.5 goals, look for the Panthers and Maple Leafs to fall below this line.

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 7.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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