Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins - 3/27/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins - 3/27/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Pittsburgh Penguins (39-17-10) vs Detroit Red Wings (26-31-7)

Game Info: Sunday, March 27, 2022 at 5:00 pm (PPG Paints Arena)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Penguins -370 / Detroit Red Wings +285 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Detroit Red Wings in Sunday NHL Action.

The Detroit Red Wings come into this road contest with an overall record of 26-31-7. Through 64 games, the Red Wings are 5th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 186 times, good for a rank of 23rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Detroit is the 30th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.72 goals per game. So far, the Red Wings have a strength of schedule rating of 18th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 28th ranked team in the NHL.

The Pittsburgh Penguins get set to host the Detroit Red Wings with an overall record of 39-17-10. This mark places them 2nd in the Metropolitan division. Through 66 games, the Penguins have scored 214 goals, giving them an average of 3.2. This output gives them a rank of 9th among NHL teams. On defense, Pittsburgh is the 6th ranked unit, giving up 2.59 goals per contest. So far, the Penguins have played the 28th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Pittsburgh's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 8th in the NHL.

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Through 59 games, the Detroit Red Wings goal and overall scoring leader is Dylan Larkin with 61 points. He has reached his mark of 27 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.2%. So far, 19.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Tyler Bertuzzi, who has 28 assists to go along with his 25 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +4.0. Detroit's top goalie is Alex Nedeljkovic, who is giving up an average of 3.18 goals per game.

Through 66 games, Pittsburgh's leading goal scorer is Jake Guentzel. With his 31 goals and 33 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 64. On the season, he is turning 14.8% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Penguins have benefited from the strong play of Sidney Crosby, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Pittsburgh's 66 games, he has come up with 23 goals on a shooting percentage of 14.4%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +11.0. Pittsburgh's top goalie is Tristan Jarry, who is giving up an average of 2.32 goals per game. In his 51 games played, he has turned in 31 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Detroit's 64 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 36-26-2. So far, taking the over when the Red Wings are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 17-13-1. On the season, 61.0% of Detroit's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 43.0% of the scoring coming from the Red Wings. Coming into this game, the Penguins have an over-under record of 32-33-1. However, when playing at home, the over has fared better, going 18-14. On the season, 56.0% of Pittsburgh's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 55% of the scoring coming from the Penguins. With a line set at 6.5 goals, look for this game to be a lower-scoring game than expected. I recommend taking the under.

 

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 6.5 Goals

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