Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings - 3/26/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings - 3/26/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit Red Wings (26-31-7) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (39-18-6)

Game Info: Saturday, March 26, 2022 at 12:30 pm (Little Caesars Arena)

Betting Odds: Detroit Red Wings +217 / Tampa Bay Lightning -278 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Detroit Red Wings host the Tampa Bay Lightning in Saturday NHL Action.

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this road contest with an overall record of 39-18-6. Through 63 games, the Lightning are 4th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 209 times, good for a rank of 13th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Tampa Bay is the 8th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.79 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have a strength of schedule rating of 17th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 9th ranked team in the NHL.

The Detroit Red Wings get set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning with an overall record of 26-31-7. This mark places them 5th in the Atlantic division. Through 64 games, the Red Wings have scored 186 goals, giving them an average of 2.86. This output gives them a rank of 23rd among NHL teams. On defense, Detroit is the 31st ranked unit, giving up 3.72 goals per contest. So far, the Red Wings have played the 18th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Detroit's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 29th in the NHL.

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Through 62 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos with 67 points. He has reached his mark of 28 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.8%. So far, 36.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 45 assists to go along with his 17 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +14.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.39 goals per game. In his 50 games played, he has turned in 32 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 59 games, the Detroit Red Wings' goal and overall scoring leader is Dylan Larkin, with 61 points. He has reached his mark of 27 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.2%. So far, 19.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Tyler Bertuzzi, who has 28 assists to go along with his 25 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +4.0. Detroit's top goalie is Alex Nedeljkovic, who is giving up an average of 3.18 goals per game. In his 47 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 52 percent of the time.

Coming into this game, the Lightning have an over-under record of 31-32. However, when playing on the road, the over has fared better, going 19-15. On the season, 52.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 54.0% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. In Detroit's 64 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 36-26-2. So far, taking the over when the Red Wings are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 19-13-1. On the season, 61.0% of Detroit's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 43.0% of the scoring coming from the Red Wings. With a line set at 6.5 goals, look for this game to fall below that line, as I don't see Detroit having the offense to help push this over 6.5 goals. I recommend taking the under.

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 6.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 8/9/22 | Ron's Rundown

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