Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins - 3/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins - 3/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports

Boston Bruins (39-19-5) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (39-17-6)

Game Info: Thursday, March 24, 2022 at 7:00 pm (TD Garden)

Betting Odds: Boston Bruins -111 / Tampa Bay Lightning -111 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Boston Bruins host the Tampa Bay Lightning in Thursday NHL Action.

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this road contest with an overall record of 39-17-6. Through 62 games, the Lightning are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 207 times, good for a rank of 12th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Tampa Bay is the 9th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.79 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have a strength of schedule rating of 18th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 9th ranked team in the NHL.

The Boston Bruins get set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning with an overall record of 39-19-5. This mark places them 3rd in the Atlantic division. Through 63 games, the Bruins have scored 191 goals, giving them an average of 3.0. This output gives them a rank of 18th among NHL teams. On defense, Boston is the 6th ranked unit, giving up 2.65 goals per contest. So far, the Bruins have played the 2nd easiest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Boston's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 13th in the NHL.

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Through 61 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos with 66 points. He has reached his mark of 27 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.7%. So far, 37.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 45 assists to go along with his 17 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +13.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.38 goals per game. In his 49 games played, he has turned in 31 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 63 games, Boston's leading goal scorer is David Pastrnak. With his 33 goals and 28 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 61. On the season, he is turning 12.0% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Bruins have benefited from the strong play of Brad Marchand, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Boston's 63 games, he has come up with 27 goals on a shooting percentage of 14.8%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +5. Boston's top goalie is Linus Ullmark, who is giving up an average of 2.72 goals per game. In his 31 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 47 percent of the time.

On the season, the Boston Bruins have a per-game scoring differential of 0.35. When playing at home, the team is winning games by an averge margin of 0.7 goals. Heading into their game with the Tampa Bay Lightning, the Bruins have a 4-1 record over their past five contests. In these games, they have scored 14 goals, accounting for 56% of the overall scoring. Over this stretch, the team has managed to play above .500 hockey, scoring more than their average of 2.65 goals per game 4 times. In what should be a tightly contested game, look for the Bruins to pick up the win over Tampa Bay.

 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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