Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets - 3/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets - 3/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Terrence Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Winnipeg Jets (30-24-10) vs Ottawa Senators (22-36-5)

Game Info: Thursday, March 24, 2022 at 8:00 pm (Canada Life Centre)

Betting Odds: Winnipeg Jets -303 / Ottawa Senators +234 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Winnipeg Jets host the Ottawa Senators in Thursday NHL Action.

The Ottawa Senators come into this road contest with an overall record of 22-36-5. Through 63 games, the Senators are 7th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 162 times, good for a rank of 30th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Ottawa is the 22nd ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.27 goals per game. So far, the Senators have a strength of schedule rating of 2nd in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 25th ranked team in the NHL.

The Winnipeg Jets get set to host the Ottawa Senators with an overall record of 30-24-10. This mark places them 6th in the Central division. Through 64 games, the Jets have scored 201 goals, giving them an average of 3.13. This output gives them a rank of 15th among NHL teams. On defense, Winnipeg is the 18th ranked unit, giving up 3.03 goals per contest. So far, the Jets have played the 7th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Winnipeg's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 17th in the NHL.

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Coming into this game, the Ottawa Senators leader in points is Brady Tkachuk. In his team's 63 games, he has come up with 20 goals and 24 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 9.2%. However, when on the ice, the Senators are -9 in scoring differential. The team's top overall goal scorer is Joshua Norris. Of his 26 goals, 50.0% have come during power play time. Ottawa's top goalie is Anton Forsberg, who is giving up an average of 2.75 goals per game. In his 32 games played, he has turned in 19 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 64 games, the Winnipeg Jets' goal and overall scoring leader is Kyle Connor, with 79 points. He has reached his mark of 39 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.2%. So far, 18.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mark Scheifele, who has 33 assists to go along with his 24 goals. However, when on the ice the Jets are --16 in scoring differential. Winnipeg's top goalie is Connor Hellebuyck, who is giving up an average of 2.95 goals per game. In his 54 games played, he has turned in 31 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Coming into this game, the Senators have an over-under record of 23-38-2. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 10-18-2. On the season, 41.0% of Ottawa's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 41.0% of the scoring coming from the Senators. In Winnipeg's 64 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 35-27-2. So far, taking the over when the Jets are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 18-11-2. On the season, 59.0% of Winnipeg's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 51.0% of the scoring coming from the Jets. With an over-under line set at 6 goals, I see this matchup finishing below that line, as Ottawa has the defense capable of slowing down the Jets. I recommend taking the under.

 

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 6 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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