Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders - 3/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders - 3/24/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

New York Islanders (27-25-9) vs Detroit Red Wings (26-30-7)

Game Info: Thursday, March 24, 2022 at 7:30 pm (UBS Arena)

Betting Odds: New York Islanders -250 / Detroit Red Wings +194 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Islanders host the Detroit Red Wings in Thursday NHL Action.

The Detroit Red Wings come into this road contest with an overall record of 26-30-7. Through 63 games, the Red Wings are 5th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 184 times, good for a rank of 21st among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Detroit is the 30th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.7 goals per game. So far, the Red Wings have a strength of schedule rating of 17th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 27th ranked team in the NHL.

The New York Islanders get set to host the Detroit Red Wings with an overall record of 27-25-9. This mark places them 6th in the Metropolitan division. Through 61 games, the Islanders have scored 165 goals, giving them an average of 2.69. This output gives them a rank of 28th among NHL teams. On defense, New York is the 3rd ranked unit, giving up 2.62 goals per contest. So far, the Islanders have played the 3rd easiest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account New York's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 20th in the NHL.

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Through 58 games, the Detroit Red Wings goal and overall scoring leader is Dylan Larkin with 61 points. He has reached his mark of 27 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.8%. So far, 19.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Tyler Bertuzzi, who has 27 assists to go along with his 25 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +5.0. Detroit's top goalie is Alex Nedeljkovic, who is giving up an average of 3.15 goals per game.

Through 52 games, the New York Islanders' goal and overall scoring leader is Brock Nelson, with 42 points. He has reached his mark of 27 goals, on a shooting percentage of 21.3%. So far, 26.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mathew Barzal, who has 28 assists to go along with his 12 goals. However, when on the ice, the Islanders are -4 in scoring differential. New York's top goalie is Ilya Sorokin, who is giving up an average of 2.29 goals per game. In his 41 games played, he has turned in 28 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Detroit's 63 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 35-26-2. So far, taking the over when the Red Wings are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 16-13-1. On the season, 60.0% of Detroit's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 43.0% of the scoring coming from the Red Wings. Coming into this game, the Islanders have an over-under record of 27-32-1. When playing at home, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 11-19-1. On the season, 46.0% of New York's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 48.0% of the scoring coming from the Islanders. With a line at just 5.5 goals, I see this game falling below that line, as the Islanders don't have the offense capable of taking advantage of Detroit's suspect defense.

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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