Pittsburgh Penguins at Buffalo Sabres - 3/23/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Through 57 games, the Pittsburgh Penguins goal and overall scoring leader is Jake Guentzel with 61 points. He has reached his mark of 29 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.6%. So far, 21.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Sidney Crosby, who has 39 assists to go along with his 22 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +12.0. Pittsburgh's top goalie is Tristan Jarry, who is giving up an average of 2.28 goals per game. In his 49 games played, he has turned in 30 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 59 games, the Buffalo Sabres' goal and overall scoring leader is Tage Thompson, with 46 points. He has reached his mark of 25 goals, on a shooting percentage of 12.5%. So far, 24.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Jeff Skinner, who has 18 assists to go along with his 24 goals. However, when on the ice, the Sabres are -11.0 in scoring differential. Buffalo's top goalie is Craig Anderson, who is giving up an average of 3.06 goals per game. In his 20 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 50 percent of the time.

Coming into this game, the Penguins have an over-under record of 30-32-1. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 12-19-1. On the season, 54.0% of Pittsburgh's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 55% of the scoring coming from the Penguins. In Buffalo's 63 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 31-31-1. So far, taking the over when the Sabres are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 16-14-1. On the season, 54.0% of Buffalo's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 45.0% of the scoring coming from the Sabres. With a line at just 5.5 goals, I see this game going over that line, as both units have vulnerable defenses.