Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche - 3/21/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche - 3/21/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Colorado Avalanche (44-13-5) vs Edmonton Oilers (35-23-4)

Game Info: Monday, March 21, 2022 at 9:30 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Colorado Avalanche -186 / Edmonton Oilers +169 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Colorado Avalanche host the Edmonton Oilers in Monday NHL Action.

The Edmonton Oilers come into this road contest with an overall record of 35-23-4. Through 62 games, the Oilers are 3rd in the Pacific Division. On the season, they have found the net 212 times, good for a rank of 7th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Edmonton is the 20th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.16 goals per game. So far, the Oilers have a strength of schedule rating of 24th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 14th ranked team in the NHL.

The Colorado Avalanche get set to host the Edmonton Oilers with an overall record of 44-13-5. This mark places them 1st in the Central division. Through 62 games, the Avalanche have scored 241 goals, giving them an average of 3.84. This output gives them a rank of 2nd among NHL teams. On defense, Colorado is the 7th ranked unit, giving up 2.77 goals per contest. So far, the Avalanche have played the 32nd toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Colorado's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 3rd in the NHL.

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Through 62 games, the Edmonton Oilers' leading goal scorer is Leon Draisaitl. With his 45 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 86. On the season, he is turning 19.7% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Oilers have benefited from the strong play of Connor McDavid, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Edmonton's 62 games, he has come up with 35 goals on a shooting percentage of 14.6%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 17. Edmonton's top goalie is Mikko Koskinen, who is giving up an average of 3.04 goals per game.

Coming into this game, the Colorado Avalanche leader in points is Nazem Kadri. In Colorado's 62 games, he has come up with 23 goals and 51 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 11.8%. The team's top overall goal scorer is Gabriel Landeskog. Of his 30 goals, 23.0% have come during power play time. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +17. Colorado's top goalie is Darcy Kuemper, who is giving up an average of 2.41 goals per game. In his 43 games played, he has turned in 25 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

On the season, the Edmonton Oilers have a per-game scoring differential of 0.26 goals. Even when playing on the road, the team is winning games by an averge margin of 0.29 goals. Heading into this game, the Edmonton Oilers are the winners of each of their last five games. During this stretch, they have scored 27 goals, accounting for 68.0% of the scoring in these contests. A key to this recent success is the fact that they have outscored their usual output of 3.37 goals per game 5 times. Even though the Oilers come into this matchup as the underdogs, I like them to pull off the upset over Colorado.

 

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Joe’s Pick Edmonton +169

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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