Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals - 3/20/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals - 3/20/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

Washington Capitals (35-18-10) vs Dallas Stars (33-23-3)

Game Info: Sunday, March 20, 2022 at 5:00 pm (Capital One Arena)

Betting Odds: Washington Capitals -149 / Dallas Stars +122 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Washington Capitals host the Dallas Stars in Sunday NHL Action.

The Dallas Stars come into this road contest with an overall record of 33-23-3. Through 59 games, the Stars are 5th in the Central Division. On the season, they have found the net 174 times, good for a rank of 23rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Dallas is the 11th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.95 goals per game. So far, the Stars have a strength of schedule rating of 7th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 17th ranked team in the NHL.

The Washington Capitals get set to host the Dallas Stars with an overall record of 35-18-10. This mark places them 4th in the Metropolitan division. Through 63 games, the Capitals have scored 212 goals, giving them an average of 3.3. This output gives them a rank of 6th among NHL teams. On defense, Washington is the 13th ranked unit, giving up 2.78 goals per contest. So far, the Capitals have played the 28th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Washington's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 9th in the NHL.

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Through 59 games, the Dallas Stars' leading goal scorer is Jason Robertson. With his 25 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 55. On the season, he is turning 19.5% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Stars have benefited from the strong play of Joe Pavelski, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Dallas's 59 games, he has come up with 23 goals on a shooting percentage of 14.4%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 13 Dallas's top goalie is Jake Oettinger, who is giving up an average of 2.47 goals per game. In his 32 games played, he has turned in 18 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 61 games, the Washington Capitals' goal and overall scoring leader is Alex Ovechkin, with 75 points. He has reached his mark of 39 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.3%. So far, 31.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Evgeny Kuznetsov, who has 40 assists to go along with his 21 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +9.0. Washington's top goalie is Ilya Samsonov, who is giving up an average of 2.95 goals per game. In his 34 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 0.3 percent of the time.

Coming into this game, the Stars have an over-under record of 27-32-1. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 12-18-1. On the season, 46.0% of Dallas's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Stars In Washington's 63 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 35-27-1. So far, taking the over when the Capitals are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 18-12-1. On the season, 60.0% of Washington's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Capitals. With a line set at 6 goals, I see this matchup falling below that line as the Stars will have trouble finding the net, keeping the total below the betting line.

 

 

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 6 Goals

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