Ottawa Senators at Montreal Canadiens - 3/19/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Ottawa Senators at Montreal Canadiens - 3/19/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports

Montreal Canadiens (16-36-9) vs Ottawa Senators (21-34-5)

Game Info: Saturday, March 19, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Bell Centre)

Betting Odds: Montreal Canadiens -164 / Ottawa Senators +134 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Montreal Canadiens host the Ottawa Senators in Saturday NHL Action.

The Ottawa Senators come into this road contest with an overall record of 21-34-5. Through 60 games, the Senators are 7th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 158 times, good for a rank of 28th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Ottawa is the 22nd ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.28 goals per game. So far, the Senators have a strength of schedule rating of 1st in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 25th ranked team in the NHL.

The Montreal Canadiens get set to host the Ottawa Senators with an overall record of 16-36-9. This mark places them 8th in the Atlantic division. Through 61 games, the Canadiens have scored 153 goals, giving them an average of 2.48. This output gives them a rank of 31st among NHL teams. On defense, Montreal is the 32nd ranked unit, giving up 3.82 goals per contest. So far, the Canadiens have played the 16th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Montreal's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 32nd in the NHL.

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Coming into this game, the Ottawa Senators leader in points is Brady Tkachuk. In his team's 60 games, he has come up with 20 goals and 24 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 9.6%. However, when on the ice, the Senators are -6 in scoring differential. The team's top overall goal scorer is Joshua Norris. Of his 24 goals, 46.0% have come during power play time. Ottawa's top goalie is Anton Forsberg, who is giving up an average of 2.84 goals per game. In his 30 games played, he has turned in 17 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 61 games, the Montreal Canadiens' goal and overall scoring leader is Nick Suzuki, with 45 points. He has reached his mark of 17 goals, on a shooting percentage of 11.6%. So far, 41.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Cole Caufield, who has 17 assists to go along with his 12 goals. However, when on the ice, the Canadiens are -13 in scoring differential. Montreal's top goalie is Sam Montembeault, who is giving up an average of 3.71 goals per game. In his 31 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 38 percent of the time.

Coming into this game, the Senators have an over-under record of 23-36-1. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 10-17-1. On the season, 42.0% of Ottawa's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 42.0% of the scoring coming from the Senators In Montreal's 61 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 36-24-1. So far, taking the over when the Canadiens are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 16-13. On the season, 61.0% of Montreal's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 39.0% of the scoring coming from the Canadiens. With a line at just 5.5 goals, I see the Canadiens and Senators surpassing that line. I recommend taking the over.

 

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Joe’s Pick Over 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 8/17/22 | Ron's Rundown

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