New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning - 3/19/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning - 3/19/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (39-15-6) vs New York Rangers (38-18-5)

Game Info: Saturday, March 19, 2022 at 8:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -149 / New York Rangers +120 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the New York Rangers in Saturday NHL Action.

The New York Rangers come into this road contest with an overall record of 38-18-5. Through 61 games, the Rangers are 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. On the season, they have found the net 185 times, good for a rank of 16th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, New York is the 3rd ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.57 goals per game. So far, the Rangers have a strength of schedule rating of 15th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 11th ranked team in the NHL.

The Tampa Bay Lightning get set to host the New York Rangers with an overall record of 39-15-6. This mark places them 2nd in the Atlantic division. Through 60 games, the Lightning have scored 204 goals, giving them an average of 3.37. This output gives them a rank of 10th among NHL teams. On defense, Tampa Bay is the 9th ranked unit, giving up 2.8 goals per contest. So far, the Lightning have played the 21st toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 8th in the NHL.

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Coming into this game, the New York Rangers leader in points is Artemi Panarin. In his team's 61 games, he has come up with 16 goals and 55 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 11.6%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +6.0 The team's top overall goal scorer is Chris Kreider. Of his 40 goals, 52.0% have come during power play time. New York's top goalie is Igor Shesterkin, who is giving up an average of 2.07 goals per game. In his 40 games played, he has turned in 30 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 59 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 66 points. He has reached his mark of 27 goals, on a shooting percentage of 16.1%. So far, 37.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 43 assists to go along with his 17 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +13.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.37 goals per game. In his 47 games played, he has turned in 29 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Coming into this game, the Rangers have an over-under record of 23-37-1. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 12-19-1. On the season, 43.0% of New York's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 47.0% of the scoring coming from the Rangers. In Tampa Bay's 60 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 31-29. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing at home, going just 12-16. On the season, 55.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 54.0% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. With a line at just 5.5 goals, I recommend taking the over, as these teams should easily surpass this line.

 

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Joe’s Pick Over 5.5 Goals

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