Dallas Stars at New York Islanders - 3/19/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Dallas Stars at New York Islanders - 3/19/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports

New York Islanders (25-24-9) vs Dallas Stars (33-23-3)

Game Info: Saturday, March 19, 2022 at 2:00 pm (UBS Arena)

Betting Odds: New York Islanders -130 / Dallas Stars +106 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Islanders host the Dallas Stars in Saturday NHL Action.

The Dallas Stars come into this road contest with an overall record of 33-23-3. Through 59 games, the Stars are 5th in the Central Division. On the season, they have found the net 174 times, good for a rank of 23rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Dallas is the 12th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.95 goals per game. So far, the Stars have a strength of schedule rating of 7th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 18th ranked team in the NHL.

The New York Islanders get set to host the Dallas Stars with an overall record of 25-24-9. This mark places them 6th in the Metropolitan division. Through 58 games, the Islanders have scored 157 goals, giving them an average of 2.69. This output gives them a rank of 29th among NHL teams. On defense, New York is the 4th ranked unit, giving up 2.69 goals per contest. So far, the Islanders have played the 28th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account New York's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 20th in the NHL.

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Through 59 games, the Dallas Stars' leading goal scorer is Jason Robertson. With his 25 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 55. On the season, he is turning 19.5% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Stars have benefited from the strong play of Joe Pavelski, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Dallas's 59 games, he has come up with 23 goals on a shooting percentage of 14.4%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 13. Dallas' top goalie is Jake Oettinger, who is giving up an average of 2.47 goals per game. In his 32 games played, he has turned in 18 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 58 games, New York's leading goal scorer is Brock Nelson. With his 24 goals and 12 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 36. On the season, he is turning 20.0% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Islanders have benefited from the strong play of Mathew Barzal, who is the team's overall leader in points. In New York's 58 games, he has come up with 12 goals on a shooting percentage of 10.1%. However, when on the ice, the Islanders are -4 in scoring differential. New York's top goalie is Ilya Sorokin, who is giving up an average of 2.3 goals per game. In his 40 games played, he has turned in 27 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Coming into this game, the Stars have an over-under record of 26-32-1. When playing on the road, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 11-18-1. On the season, 46.0% of Dallas's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 53.0% of the scoring coming from the Stars. Coming into this game, the Islanders have an over-under record of 26-30-1. When playing at home, the over is hitting less than half the time, going 10-18-1. On the season, 47.0% of New York's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 47.0% of the scoring coming from the Islanders. Even with a line at 5.5 goals, I see this game falling below that number. I recommend taking the under.

 

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Joe’s Pick Under 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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