Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs - 3/15/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs - 3/15/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs (37-17-5) vs Dallas Stars (32-22-3)

Game Info: Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -150 / Dallas Stars +120 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Dallas Stars in Tuesday NHL Action.

The Dallas Stars come into this road contest with an overall record of 32-22-3. Through 57 games, the Stars are 5th in the Central Division. On the season, they have found the net 170 times, good for a rank of 22nd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Dallas is the 9th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.93 goals per game. So far, the Stars have a strength of schedule rating of 5th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 17th ranked team in the NHL.

The Toronto Maple Leafs get set to host the Dallas Stars with an overall record of 37-17-5. This mark places them 3rd in the Atlantic division. Through 59 games, the Maple Leafs have scored 219 goals, giving them an average of 3.68. This output gives them a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. On defense, Toronto is the 16th ranked unit, giving up 3.05 goals per contest. So far, the Maple Leafs have played the 31st toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Toronto's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 7th in the NHL.

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Through 57 games, the Dallas Stars' leading goal scorer is Jason Robertson. With his 25 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 55. On the season, he is turning 20.1% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Stars have benefited from the strong play of Joe Pavelski, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Dallas's 57 games, he has come up with 23 goals on a shooting percentage of 14.8%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 14. Dallas's top goalie is Jake Oettinger, who is giving up an average of 2.43 goals per game. In his 30 games played, he has turned in 17 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 56 games, the Toronto Maple Leafs' goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews, with 77 points. He has reached his mark of 45 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.8%. So far, 29% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 39 assists to go along with his 23 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +11.0. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.65 goals per game. In his 40 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

On the season, the Dallas Stars have a per-game scoring differential of 0.02. However, the team's scoring differential turns negative, at -0.61 goals per game when playing on the road. Heading into their game with the Toronto Maple Leafs, the Stars have a 3-2 record over their past five contests. In these games, they have scored 19 goals, accounting for 51.0% of the overall scoring. A key to this recent success is the fact that they have outscored their usual output of 2.93 goals per game 4 times. Look for the Maple Leafs to take care of business at home, as they have been tough to beat when playing on their home ice.

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Joe’s Pick Maple Leafs -150

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