Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres - 3/13/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres - 3/13/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Sabres (19-32-8) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (37-16-5)

Game Info: Sunday, March 13, 2022 at 4:00 pm (Tim Hortons Field)

Betting Odds: Buffalo Sabres +211 / Toronto Maple Leafs -270 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Buffalo Sabres host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Sunday NHL Action.

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this road contest with an overall record of 37-16-5. Through 58 games, the Maple Leafs are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 217 times, good for a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Toronto is the 16th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.02 goals per game. So far, the Maple Leafs have a strength of schedule rating of 30th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 6th ranked team in the NHL.

The Buffalo Sabres get set to host the Toronto Maple Leafs with an overall record of 19-32-8. This mark places them 7th in the Atlantic division. Through 59 games, the Sabres have scored 157 goals, giving them an average of 2.63. This output gives them a rank of 24th among NHL teams. On defense, Buffalo is the 28th ranked unit, giving up 3.54 goals per contest. So far, the Sabres have played the 28th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Buffalo's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 29th in the NHL.

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Through 55 games, the Toronto Maple Leaf's goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews with 76 points. He has reached his mark of 44 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.7%. So far, 30.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 39 assists to go along with his 23 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +14.0. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.65 goals per game. In his 40 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 59 games, Buffalo's leading goal scorer is Jeff Skinner. With his 23 goals and 18 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 41. On the season, he is turning 12.6% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Sabres have benefited from the strong play of Tage Thompson, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Buffalo's 59 games, he has come up with 23 goals on a shooting percentage of 12.6%. However, when on the ice, the Sabres are -12.0 in scoring differential. Buffalo's top goalie is Craig Anderson, who is giving up an average of 3.01 goals per game. In his 17 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 0.471 percent of the time.

On the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a per-game scoring differential of 0.71. When playing on the road, the team is winning games by an averge margin of 0.66 goals. In their past 5 games, Toronto Maple Leafs have a below .500 record over their past five games, going 2-3. During this stretch, they have scored 20 goals, accounting for 45.0% of the scoring in these contests. Even though the team is not finding success in the win column, they come into this game playing well on offense. In their past five games, they have outscored their average of 3.71 goals per game 4 times. Look for another big scoring night for Toronto, as they pick up a win over the Sabres.

 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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