Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers - 3/12/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers - 3/12/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Perry Nelson-USA TODAY Sports

Edmonton Oilers (31-23-4) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (37-14-6)

Game Info: Saturday, March 12, 2022 at 10:00 pm (Rogers Place)

Betting Odds: Edmonton Oilers +188 / Tampa Bay Lightning +110 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Edmonton Oilers host the Tampa Bay Lightning in Saturday NHL Action.

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this road contest with an overall record of 37-14-6. Through 57 games, the Lightning are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 197 times, good for a rank of 7th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Tampa Bay is the 10th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.84 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have a strength of schedule rating of 18th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 7th ranked team in the NHL.

The Edmonton Oilers get set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning with an overall record of 31-23-4. This mark places them 4th in the Pacific division. Through 58 games, the Oilers have scored 189 goals, giving them an average of 3.21. This output gives them a rank of 11th among NHL teams. On defense, Edmonton is the 22nd ranked unit, giving up 3.21 goals per contest. So far, the Oilers have played the 16th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Edmonton's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 17th in the NHL.

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Through 56 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos with 63 points. He has reached his mark of 27 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.3%. So far, 37.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 43 assists to go along with his 14 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +14.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.43 goals per game. In his 45 games played, he has turned in 27 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 58 games, Edmonton's leading goal scorer is Leon Draisaitl. With his 38 goals and 41 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 79. On the season, he is turning 19.8% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Oilers have benefited from the strong play of Connor McDavid, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Edmonton's 58 games, he has come up with 30 goals on a shooting percentage of 13.6%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +11. Edmonton's top goalie is Mikko Koskinen, who is giving up an average of 3.04 goals per game. In his 33 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 42% percent of the time.

In Tampa Bay's 57 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 31-26. So far, taking the over when the Lightning are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 19-10. On the season, 58.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 54.0% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. Coming into this game, the Oilers have an over-under record of 28-29-1. However, when playing at home, the over has fared better, going 15-12. On the season, 64.0% of Edmonton's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 52.0% of the scoring coming from the Oilers. Look for this game to finish above the line of 6 goals, as the Oilers should have no problem finding the net vs Tampa Bay.

 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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