Vegas Golden Knights at Pittsburgh Penguins - 3/11/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Vegas Golden Knights at Pittsburgh Penguins - 3/11/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Lucas Peltier-USA TODAY Sports

Pittsburgh Penguins (34-15-9) vs Vegas Golden Knights (32-22-4)

Game Info: Friday, March 11, 2022 at 7:00 pm (PPG Paints Arena)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Penguins -137 / Vegas Golden Knights +111 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Vegas Golden Knights in Friday NHL Action.

The Vegas Golden Knights come into this road contest with an overall record of 32-22-4. Through 58 games, the Golden Knights are 3rd in the Pacific Division. On the season, they have found the net 185 times, good for a rank of 13th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Vegas is the 16th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.9 goals per game. So far, the Golden Knights have a strength of schedule rating of 12th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 13th ranked team in the NHL.

The Pittsburgh Penguins get set to host the Vegas Golden Knights with an overall record of 34-15-9. This mark places them 2nd in the Metropolitan division. Through 58 games, the Penguins have scored 188 goals, giving them an average of 3.21. This output gives them a rank of 12th among NHL teams. On defense, Pittsburgh is the 7th ranked unit, giving up 2.6 goals per contest. So far, the Penguins have played the 30th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Pittsburgh's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 9th in the NHL.

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Through 52 games, the Vegas Golden Knights goal and overall scoring leader is Jonathan Marchessault with 43 points. He has reached his mark of 24 goals, on a shooting percentage of 13.6%. So far, 21.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Chandler Stephenson, who has 28 assists to go along with his 14 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +4.0. Vegas's top goalie is Robin Lehner, who is giving up an average of 2.77 goals per game.

Through 52 games, the Pittsburgh Penguins' goal and overall scoring leader is Jake Guentzel, with 58 points. He has reached his mark of 28 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.2%. So far, 21.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Sidney Crosby, who has 37 assists to go along with his 19 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +13.0. Pittsburgh's top goalie is Tristan Jarry, who is giving up an average of 2.34 goals per game. In his 45 games played, he has turned in 26 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In terms of betting, the Golden Knights are covering the spread in less than half their games, with an ATS record of just 25-33. Even though they have an overall ATS record below .500, they have managed to cover 14 of their 26 road games. On the season, the Vegas Golden Knights have a per-game scoring differential of 0.28 goals per game. Even when playing on the road, the team is winning games by an averge margin of 0.42 goals. Heading into their game with the Pittsburgh Penguins, the Golden Knights have a 3-2 record over their past five contests. In these games, they have scored 13 goals, accounting for 50.0% of the overall scoring. Over this stretch, the team has managed to play above .500 hockey, despite scoring more than their average of 2.9 goals per game, just 1 time. Look for the Penguins to pick up the win over a Vegas team struggling to find the net.

 

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Joe’s Pick Penguins -137

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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