Vegas Golden Knights at Buffalo Sabres - 3/10/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Vegas Golden Knights at Buffalo Sabres - 3/10/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Sabres (18-32-8) vs Vegas Golden Knights (32-22-4)

Game Info: Thursday, March 10, 2022 at 7:00 pm (KeyBank Center)

Betting Odds: Buffalo Sabres +280 / Vegas Golden Knights -133 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Buffalo Sabres host the Vegas Golden Knights in Thursday NHL Action.

The Vegas Golden Knights come into this road contest with an overall record of 32-22-4. Through 58 games, the Golden Knights are 3rd in the Pacific Division. On the season, they have found the net 185 times, good for a rank of 12th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Vegas is the 16th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.9 goals per game. So far, the Golden Knights have a strength of schedule rating of 13th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 13th ranked team in the NHL.

The Buffalo Sabres get set to host the Vegas Golden Knights with an overall record of 18-32-8. This mark places them 7th in the Atlantic division. Through 58 games, the Sabres have scored 154 goals, giving them an average of 2.62. This output gives them a rank of 24th among NHL teams. On defense, Buffalo is the 28th ranked unit, giving up 3.59 goals per contest. So far, the Sabres have played the 27th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Buffalo's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 30th in the NHL.

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Through 52 games, the Vegas Golden Knights goal and overall scoring leader is Jonathan Marchessault with 43 points. He has reached his mark of 24 goals, on a shooting percentage of 13.6%. So far, 21.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Chandler Stephenson, who has 28 assists to go along with his 14 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +4.0. Vegas's top goalie is Robin Lehner, who is giving up an average of 2.77 goals per game.

Through 58 games, Buffalo's leading goal scorer is Jeff Skinner. With his 23 goals and 18 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 41. On the season, he is turning 12.7% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Sabres have benefited from the strong play of Tage Thompson, who is the teams overall leader in points. In Buffalo's 58 games, he has come up with 23 goals on a shooting percentage of 12.6%. However, when on the ice, the Sabres are -12.0 in scoring differential. Buffalo's top goalie is Craig Anderson, who is giving up an average of 3.14 goals per game. In his 16 games played, he has come up with a quality start just 44 percent of the time.

In Vegas's 58 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 31-25-2. So far, taking the over when the Golden Knights are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 13-12-1. On the season, 57.0% of Vegas's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 52.0% of the scoring coming from the Golden Knights. In Buffalo's 58 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 29-28-1. So far, taking the over when the Sabres are playing at home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 15-13-1. On the season, 55.0% of Buffalo's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 45.0% of the scoring coming from the Sabres. With a betting line set at just 5.5 goals, I see this matchup going over that line as Vegas should be in line for a big enough scoring to carry this game over the betting line.

 

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Joe’s Pick Over 5.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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