Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames - 3/10/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames - 3/10/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by James Carey Lauder-USA TODAY Sports

Calgary Flames (34-15-7) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (37-13-6)

Game Info: Thursday, March 10, 2022 at 9:00 pm (Scotiabank Saddledome)

Betting Odds: Calgary Flames -110 / Tampa Bay Lightning -110 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Calgary Flames host the Tampa Bay Lightning in Thursday NHL Action.

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this road contest with an overall record of 37-13-6. Through 56 games, the Lightning are 2nd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 196 times, good for a rank of 6th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Tampa Bay is the 9th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.82 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have a strength of schedule rating of 21st in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 7th ranked team in the NHL.

The Calgary Flames get set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning with an overall record of 34-15-7. This mark places them 1st in the Pacific division. Through 56 games, the Flames have scored 197 goals, giving them an average of 3.48. This output gives them a rank of 5th among NHL teams. On defense, Calgary is the 2nd ranked unit, giving up 2.48 goals per contest. So far, the Flames have played the 20th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Calgary's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 2nd in the NHL.

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Through 55 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 63 points. He has reached his mark of 27 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.4%. So far, 37.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 43 assists to go along with his 14 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +15.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.39 goals per game. In his 44 games played, he has turned in 27 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Coming into this game, the Calgary Flames leader in points is Johnny Gaudreau. In Calgary's 56 games, he has come up with 23 goals and 51 assists. He has scored his goals on a shooting percentage of 12.6%. The team's top overall goal scorer is Elias Lindholm. Of his 29 goals, 24.0% have come during power play time. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +43. Calgary's top goalie is Jacob Markstrom, who is giving up an average of 2.14 goals per game. In his 44 games played, he has turned in 25 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Tampa Bay's 56 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 31-25. So far, taking the over when the Lightning are playing away from home has been a good bet with an over-under record of 19-9. On the season, 59.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 54.0% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. In Calgary's 56 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 29-25-2. So far, taking the over when the Flames are playing at home, has been a good bet with an over-under record of 13-12-1. On the season 62.0% of Calgary's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 58% of the scoring coming from the Flames. Even with a line set at 6.5 goals, I recommend taking the over.

 

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Joe’s Pick Over 6.5 Goals

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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MLB Picks & Predictions Today 5/23/22 | Ron's Rundown

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