Arizona Coyotes at Toronto Maple Leafs - 3/10/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Arizona Coyotes at Toronto Maple Leafs - 3/10/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs (37-16-4) vs Arizona Coyotes (17-35-4)

Game Info: Thursday, March 10, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -400 / Arizona Coyotes +280 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Toronto Maple Leaf's host the Arizona Coyotes in Thursday NHL Action.

The Arizona Coyotes come into this road contest with an overall record of 17-35-4. Through 56 games, the Coyotes are 8th in the Central Division. On the season, they have found the net 141 times, good for a rank of 29th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Arizona is the 26th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.55 goals per game. So far, the Coyotes have a strength of schedule rating of 5th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 31st ranked team in the NHL.

The Toronto Maple Leafs get set to host the Arizona Coyotes with an overall record of 37-16-4. This mark places them 3rd in the Atlantic division. Through 57 games, the Maple Leafs have scored 213 goals, giving them an average of 3.7. This output gives them a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. On defense, Toronto is the 17th ranked unit, giving up 2.98 goals per contest. So far, the Maple Leafs have played the 28th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Toronto's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 5th in the NHL.

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Through 56 games, the Arizona Coyotes goal and overall scoring leader is Clayton Keller with 54 points. He has reached his mark of 24 goals, on a shooting percentage of 15.2%. So far, 12.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Nick Schmaltz, who has 21 assists to go along with his 16 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +10. Arizona's top goalie is Karel Vejmelka, who is giving up an average of 3.38 goals per game.

Through 54 games, the Toronto Maple Leafs' goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews, with 75 points. He has reached his mark of 43 goals, on a shooting percentage of 17.7%. So far, 30.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 39 assists to go along with his 23 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +15. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.65 goals per game. In his 40 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

On the season, the Maple Leafs are covering the spread in less than half their games, with an ATS record of just 23-33. Despite playing at home, they have covered just 11 of their 28 home games. For the year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a per-game scoring differential of 0.74. Even when playing at home, the team is winning games by an averge margin of 0.66 goals. Heading into their game with the Arizona Coyotes, the Maple Leafs have a 3-2 record over their past five contests. In these games, they have scored 21 goals, accounting for 49.0% of the overall scoring. A key to this recent success is the fact that they have outscored their usual output of 3.7 goals per game 4 times. Look for the Maple Leafs to come up with an easy win over the Coyotes.

 

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Joe’s Pick Maple Leaf's -400

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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