Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning - 3/4/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning - 3/4/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (35-11-6) vs Detroit Red Wings (24-24-6)

Game Info: Friday, March 4, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -250 / Detroit Red Wings +550 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Detroit Red Wings in Friday NHL Action.

The Detroit Red Wings come into this road contest with an overall record of 24-24-6. Through 54 games, the Red Wings are 5th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 160 times, good for a rank of 21st among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Detroit is the 26th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.57 goals per game. So far, the Red Wings have a strength of schedule rating of 23rd in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 26th ranked team in the NHL.

The Tampa Bay Lightning get set to host the Detroit Red Wings with an overall record of 35-11-6. This mark places them 1st in the Atlantic division. Through 52 games, the Lightning have scored 182 goals, giving them an average of 3.46. This output gives them a rank of 7th among NHL teams. On defense, Tampa Bay is the 5th ranked unit, giving up 2.73 goals per contest. So far, the Lightning have played the 21st toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 7th in the NHL.

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Through 49 games, the Detroit Red Wings goal and overall scoring leader is Dylan Larkin with 56 points. He has reached his mark of 27 goals, on a shooting percentage of 18.2%. So far, 19.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Tyler Bertuzzi, who has 22 assists to go along with his 23 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +6.0. Detroit's top goalie is Alex Nedeljkovic, who is giving up an average of 3.13 goals per game.

Through 51 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 60 points. He has reached his mark of 26 goals, on a shooting percentage of 18.1%. So far, 35.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 40 assists to go along with his 11 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +19.0 Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.27 goals per game. In his 41 games played, he has turned in 27 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

On the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a per-game scoring differential of 0.69. When playing at home, the team is winning games by an averge margin of 0.62 goals. Heading into this game, the Tampa Bay Lightning are the winners of each of their last five games. During this stretch, they have scored 23 goals, accounting for 64.0% of the scoring in these contests. A key to this recent success is the fact that they have outscored their usual output of 3.46 goals per game 4 times. Look for this trend to continue as the Lightning take down the Red Wings at home.

 

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Joe’s Pick Lightning -250

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 6/27/22 | Ron's Rundown

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