Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets - 3/4/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets - 3/4/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Terrence Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Winnipeg Jets (24-21-9) vs Dallas Stars (30-20-3)

Game Info: Friday, March 4, 2022 at 8:00 pm (Canada Life Centre)

Betting Odds: Winnipeg Jets +140 / Dallas Stars +160 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Winnipeg Jets host the Dallas Stars in Friday NHL Action.

The Dallas Stars come into this road contest with an overall record of 30-20-3. Through 53 games, the Stars are 5th in the Central Division. On the season, they have found the net 155 times, good for a rank of 22nd among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Dallas is the 10th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.87 goals per game. So far, the Stars have a strength of schedule rating of 8th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 17th ranked team in the NHL.

The Winnipeg Jets get set to host the Dallas Stars with an overall record of 24-21-9. This mark places them 6th in the Central division. Through 54 games, the Jets have scored 163 goals, giving them an average of 3.0. This output gives them a rank of 17th among NHL teams. On defense, Winnipeg is the 19th ranked unit, giving up 3.0 goals per contest. So far, the Jets have played the 13th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Winnipeg's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 18th in the NHL.

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Through 53 games, the Dallas Stars' leading goal scorer is Jason Robertson. With his 25 assists, he is the second in overall points, coming in at 48. On the season, he is turning 17.8% of his shots into goals. In addition, the Stars have benefited from the strong play of Joe Pavelski, who is the team's overall leader in points. In Dallas's 53 games, he has come up with 21 goals on a shooting percentage of 14.8%. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of 13. Dallas's top goalie is Jake Oettinger, who is giving up an average of 2.28 goals per game. In his 27 games played, he has turned in 15 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 54 games, the Winnipeg Jets' goal and overall scoring leader is Kyle Connor, with 61 points. He has reached his mark of 32 goals, on a shooting percentage of 13.6%. So far, 19.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mark Scheifele, who has 25 assists to go along with his 20 goals. However, when on the ice, the Jets are -20 in scoring differential. Winnipeg's top goalie is Connor Hellebuyck, who is giving up an average of 2.9 goals per game. In his 45 games played, he has turned in 28 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In terms of betting, the Stars are covering the spread in less than half their games, with an ATS record of just 22-27. These struggles against the spread are also taking place on the road, as they have covered just 8 of their 24 road games. On the season, the Dallas Stars have a per-game scoring differential of 0.02. However, Dallas' scoring differential turns negative, at -0.8. Look for the Jets to take care of the Stars at home, as they have played much better on their home ice.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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