Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning - 3/3/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning - 3/3/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (35-11-6) vs Pittsburgh Penguins (33-14-8)

Game Info: Thursday, March 3, 2022 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -105 / Pittsburgh Penguins +225 --- Over/Under: 6 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Pittsburgh Penguins in Thursday NHL Action.

The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this road contest with an overall record of 33-14-8. Through 55 games, the Penguins are 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. On the season, they have found the net 178 times, good for a rank of 11th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Pittsburgh is the 8th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 2.6 goals per game. So far, the Penguins have a strength of schedule rating of 31st in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 10th ranked team in the NHL.

The Tampa Bay Lightning get set to host the Pittsburgh Penguins with an overall record of 35-11-6. This mark places them 1st in the Atlantic division. Through 52 games, the Lightning have scored 182 goals, giving them an average of 3.46. This output gives them a rank of 7th among NHL teams. On defense, Tampa Bay is the 6th ranked unit, giving up 2.73 goals per contest. So far, the Lightning have played the 21st toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Tampa Bay's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 7th in the NHL.

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Through 49 games, the Pittsburgh Penguins goal and overall scoring leader is Jake Guentzel with 53 points. He has reached his mark of 25 goals, on a shooting percentage of 14.5%. So far, 24.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Sidney Crosby, who has 34 assists to go along with his 16 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +10.0. Pittsburgh's top goalie is Tristan Jarry, who is giving up an average of 2.33 goals per game. In his 43 games played, he has turned in 25 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

Through 51 games, the Tampa Bay Lightning's goal and overall scoring leader is Steven Stamkos, with 60 points. He has reached his mark of 26 goals, on a shooting percentage of 18.1%. So far, 35.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Victor Hedman, who has 40 assists to go along with his 11 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +19.0. Tampa Bay's top goalie is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is giving up an average of 2.27 goals per game. In his 41 games played, he has turned in 27 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Pittsburgh's 55 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 27-24-1. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing on the road, going just 12-13-1. On the season, 55.0% of Pittsburgh's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 54.0% of the scoring coming from the Penguins. On the other side, in Tampa Bay's 52 games, the over has hit in over half of their games, going 27-22. So far, the team has been less likely to go over the betting line when playing at home, going just 10-14. On the season, 58.0% of Tampa Bay's games have gone for at least 6 goals or more, with 56% of the scoring coming from the Lightning. Look for this to be a high-scoring game, surpassing the over-under line of 6 goals.

 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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