Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs - 3/2/22 NHL Picks and Prediction

Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs - 3/2/22 NHL Picks and Prediction Photo by Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs (35-14-4) vs Buffalo Sabres (16-30-8)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 2, 2022 at 7:30 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -417 / Buffalo Sabres +310 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Buffalo Sabres in Wednesday NHL Action.

The Buffalo Sabres come into this road contest with an overall record of 16-30-8. Through 54 games, the Sabres are 7th in the Atlantic Division. On the season, they have found the net 143 times, good for a rank of 24th among NHL teams. Heading into the game, Buffalo is the 29th ranked defensive team, allowing opponents to score at an average rate of 3.59 goals per game. So far, the Sabres have a strength of schedule rating of 29th in the league. When diving into their opponent-adjusted scoring margin, they come into this game as the 30th ranked team in the NHL.

The Toronto Maple Leafs get set to host the Buffalo Sabres with an overall record of 35-14-4. This mark places them 2nd in the Atlantic division. Through 53 games, the Maple Leafs have scored 197 goals, giving them an average of 3.68. This output gives them a rank of 3rd among NHL teams. On defense, Toronto is the 12th ranked unit, giving up 2.85 goals per contest. So far, the Maple Leafs have played the 18th toughest schedule in the league. And, when taking into account Toronto's scoring margin relative to the quality of their competition, they come in with a power ranking of 6th in the NHL.

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For the year, the Buffalo Sabres goal and overall scoring leader is Tage Thompson with 40 points. He has reached his mark of 22 goals, on a shooting percentage of 13.4%. So far, 27.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Jeff Skinner, who has 17 assists to go along with his 20 goals. However, when on the ice, the Sabres are -9.0 in scoring differential. Buffalo's top goalie is Craig Anderson, who is giving up an average of 3.01 goals per game.

Through 50 games, the Toronto Maple Leafs' goal and overall scoring leader is Auston Matthews, with 68 points. He has reached his mark of 37 goals, on a shooting percentage of 16.7%. So far, 32.0% of his goals have come during power play time. Behind him is Mitch Marner, who has 35 assists to go along with his 21 goals. While on the ice, his offensive production has led to a plus-minus rating of +18. Toronto's top goalie is Jack Campbell, who is giving up an average of 2.55 goals per game.In his 38 games played, he has turned in 23 quality starts, giving him a quality start percentage above the league average.

In Buffalo's 54 games, they have an above .500 record against the spread, going 29-22. So far, the Sabres have been a good bet on the road as they have covered in 14 of their 25 road games. However, when digging deeper, I like Toronto's odds to come away with a win. On the season, the Buffalo Sabres have a per-game scoring differential of -0.96. Things haven't gone any better on the road as they are losing road games by an average of -1.29 goals. In addition, Buffalo comes into this game having lost each of their last five games. During this stretch, they have scored 11 goals, accounting for 31.0% of the scoring in these contests. Look for the Maple Leafs to knock off the Sabres at home.

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Joe’s Pick Maple Leafs -417

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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